Browsing articles tagged with "minority broker-dealer Archives - Mischler Financial Group"
Equity Markets Blink, But Remain Resilient-What’s Next? Peruzzi’s Perch Memorial Day Edition
May 2017      Equities Market Commentary   

Peruzzi’s Perch-May 26 2017-Memorial Day Edition: Equity Markets Blink But Remain Resilient In Wake of More Presidential Drama

Just when the markets looked ready to crack, along came President Trump’s first overseas trip. The trip to the Middle East and Europe came at the perfect time as it took market focus off of the administration’s follies and back on the economic fundamentals.

larry-peruzzi-mischler-equitiies

Larry Peruzzi, Managing Director

The FOMC minutes from the May 2-3 meeting on Wednesday showed that the FED seems to be on pace for a June 14 rate hike. The FED dismissed 1Q slower growth and felt that higher broader growth is on the horizon. While the probability a June hike slightly diminished after the release, by week’s end markets had priced in a 92% chance of a 25 bps hike.

The week also saw some retailing firms release earning, and on a whole, traditional retailers continue to lose market share but investors were encouraged by pockets of strength in a few names such as Best Buy (NYSE:BBY),  Home Depot (NYSE:HD), and of course, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN).

Crude oil’s 2 week rally rolled over as OPEC’s production cuts were seen as being insufficient. Last Saturday’s news that The United States sealed a multibillion arms deal with Saudi Arabia helped lift defense stocks such as Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT), General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) and Boeing (NYSE:BA) to all-time highs’. On the negative side, ISIS seemed to hit new lows in Manchester England and President Trump gave us some awkward moments at the NATO meeting on Thursday; neither was enough to keep the S&P 500 and NASDAQ from hitting new all-time highs. We continue to see institutional money flow into the market, but we also saw an uptick in retail flows entering the market. Overseas the U.K pond hit monthly low versus the Euro and U.S dollar on uncertain election polling numbers and Brazil’s bribery/ Presidential drama continues to amaze us.

Looking ahead to next week, a fair amount of data will be compressed into 4 days due to Monday’s Memorial Day holiday. April Personal Income and Spending, as well as May Conference Board consumer confidence on Tuesday gives us some insight onto the consumer sentiment and strength, while Dallas Fed manufacturing on Tuesday, Chicago Purchasing on Wednesday and May ISM manufacturing data on Thursday  will shed some light on manufacturing activity and health.

The highlight of the week will be on Friday with the release of May’s employment report. The FED has repeatedly stated that the largest factor in determining future rate hikes is the Payrolls numbers. With the long weekend and the Jobs report on Friday (providing we do not see any major news out of Washington),  trading volume will be skewed to the end of the week.

This week we looked at total U.S exchange volume versus the VIX index. It confirmed our belief that spikes in the VIX (May 15 to May 18) provided more trading opportunities as limits and Stops got triggered, and thus trading volumes spiked. This week however, the VIX has dropped back below 10 and trading volumes dropped by approximately 15%. Fed governors William, Brainard, Kaplin , Powel and Harker speak during the week, but investors seem to be locked in on a June 14th hike so we expect little new data from the Fed until then.

With the mid-month sell off followed by the late moth recovery investors have had to digest a lot of data points in trying to determine if we are under or overvalued. The long weekend will be welcomed, but we should not lose sight as to the meaning of the day as we honor the brave men and women who made the ultimate sacrifice.

Larry Peruzzi

Managing Director International Trading

Mischler Financial Group

Investment Banking | Institutional Brokerage

Ph:   1-617-420-8472 | Cell: 1-617-997-6318

Larry Peruzzi is a 20 yr global trading markets veteran and brings a unique perspective to global equities market commentary via Mischler Financial Group, the securities industry’s oldest minority broker-dealer owned and operated by service-disabled veterans.  Larry’s experience  and best execution perspective stems from his sitting on ‘both sides of the aisle.’  For more than half of Larry’s career, he ran buy-side trading desks for Standish Mellon and thereafter, The Boston Company. In both of those roles, Larry was responsible for implementing and managing international equities trade execution. Larry’s perspectives are frequently cited by the leading financial news publishers, including The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg LP and Reuters

Mischler End of Week Equities Market Commentary via Peruzzi’s Perch March 09 2017 end-of-week edition is distributed via email to institutional investment managers and Fortune Treasury clients of veteran-owned broker-dealer Mischler Financial Group, the investment industry’s oldest  minority broker-dealer owned and operated by Service-Disabled Veterans.

Peruzzi’s Perch is a weekly synopsis of Everything Equities as seen from the perch of Mischler Financial Group’s International Equities Desk. Cited by Wall Street Letter in each of 2014, 2015 and 2016 for “Best Research / Broker-Dealer”, Peruzzi’s Perch is one of four distinctive content pieces produced by Mischler Financial Group

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Mischler Investment Grade Debt Market Commentary-Memorial Day 2017 Edition
May 2017      Debt Market Commentary   

“Quigley’s Corner” – Memorial Day 2017 Edition; Best & Brightest Sound Off re: Investment Grade Corporate Debt Forecast

mischler financial veteran-owned broker-dealer-memorial-day-2017

Investment Grade Debt New Issue Re-Cap

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

The “QC” Geopolitical Risk Monitor

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

The Best and the Brightest”  Syndicate Forecasts and Sound Bites for Next Week 

“Knowing the Past for the Future” – A Look at a Decade’s Worth of June IG Corporate and SSA Issuance

About Memorial Day

NICs, Bid-to-Covers, Tenors, Sizes and Average Spread Compression from IPTs thru Launches

This Week’s IG New Issues and Where They’re Trading

Indexes and New Issue Volume

Lipper Report / Fund Flows

IG Credit Spreads by Rating

IG Credit Spreads by Industry

Economic Data Releases

New Issue Pipeline

M&A Pipeline

Rates Trading Lab

 

A “thank you” goes out to all the 24 syndicate desk operatives who I polled this morning in the “QC” and who truly are the “Best and the Brightest” in our world of fixed income syndicate.  You see, SIFMA has declared today an early close ahead of Monday’s Memorial Day and as such we’re all looking to get out a bit ahead of the crowd so-to-speak.  They all complied and I have for your reading pleasure all 24 of those syndicate gurus patiently waiting below with their IG corporate new issue thoughts and forecasts not only for next week’s supply but for all of June as well.  So, sit back, relax and before your long weekend begins, get the data download as to what we expect for next week and month. After that enjoy this weekend with your families and please remember those sacrifices made by our nation’s men and women in uniform.  Please also take the time to read the Memorial Day piece above that says it all and the scroll below for General John A. Logan’s Memorial Day Order known as General Order No.11 May 5th, 1868 issued to honor our nation’s dead in the Civil War. It is the foundational starting point to our nation’s honoring our veterans on Memorial Day this Monday.

Thank you all! -RQ

 

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

 

  • BAML’s IG Master Index was unchanged at +118.  +106 represents the post-Crisis low dating back to July 2007.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS was unchanged at 1.13.
  • Standard & Poor’s Investment Grade Composite Spread was unchanged at +161.  The +140 reached on July 30th 2014 represents the post-Crisis low.
  • Investment grade corporate bond trading posted a final Trace count of $17.2b on Thursday versus $19.7b on Wednesday and $15.2b the previous Thursday.
  • The 10-DMA stands at $16.9b.

 

The “QC” Geopolitical Risk Monitor

 

Risk Level/Main Factor Geopolitical Risks
HIGH
Asian Political Tensions
·     ISIS attack in Manchester, U.K. kills 22 wounds 59/U.K. on highest terror alert – “CRITICAL”

·     N. Korea “deployment and mass production” of ballistic missiles that could reach Japan & Guam.

·     Increasing tensions between North Korea (pop: 24mm) & South Korea (pop: 44mm).

·     Dictator Kim Jong-Un increasingly belligerent./Political disruption in Pacific Rim.

ELEVATED
BREXIT Fallout
·     Pres. Trump labels terrorists “Losers”; urges unity of all faiths to destroy radical factions.

·     Contentious U.K./EU negotiations over BREXIT. U.K. threatens to abandon talks.

·     2nd Scottish independence referendum Fall 2018 or Spring 2019. Also support for a vote in Ireland.

CAUTION
“Trump Factor”
Fed Balance Sheet
·     Trump tax reform challenges & consensus GOP support to pass legislation questioned.

·     FBI Controversy over firing of Comey & Russia scandal.

·     Potential mid-term election loss to Dems in 11/2018 will impede any progress/GOP dissension.

·     U.S. partisan politics/gridlock/media war against Trump

·     China hard landing?/L-T Moody’s downgrade to A1 vs. Aa3; outlook to “stable” from “negative.”

·     Shrinking Fed balance sheet/weaker technicals/wider spreads/higher volatility 2H17.

MODERATE ·     Syria/Terrorism/Venezuelan civil unrest/Brazil’s scandal & new recession.

·     Russia meddling in international elections/Russia in expansion mode.

MARGINAL
2018 U.S. Recession
“QUITALY”
·    Highly fractious Italian political landscape. 64 governments in 72 Post WWII years.

·    Italy’s 5 Star Movement & EU skeptic parties have more influence than in other EU elections.

·    As Italian elections approach, EU risks increase significantly/Italian debt-to-GDP ratio is 133%.

·    A “QUITALY” referendum vote?

·    Chance of a 2018 U.S. recession.

 

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

 

IG Corporate New Issuance This Week
5/22-5/26
vs. Current
WTD – $39.20b
May 2017
Forecasts
vs. Current
MTD – $148.138b
Low-End Avg. $29.69b 132.03% $122.27b 121.16%
Midpoint Avg. $30.48b 128.61% $123.42b 120.03%
High-End Avg. $31.27b 125.36% $124.56b 118.93%
The Low $20b 196.00% $100b 148.138%
The High $40b 98.00% $150b 98.76

The Best and the Brightest”  Syndicate Forecasts and Sound Bites for Next Week 

I am happy to announce that the “QC” once again received 100% unanimous participation from all 24 syndicate desks surveyed for today’s “Best & Brightest” edition!  19 of those participants are among 2017’s YTD top 21 ranked syndicate desks according to today’s Bloomberg’s U.S. IG U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond underwriting league table.  23 are in the top 27 of that same table. The 2017 League table can be found on your terminals at “LEAG” + [GO] after which you select (US Investment Grade Corporates).  The participating desks represent 81.39% of all IG dollar-denominated new issue underwriting as of today’s table share percentage which simply means they’re the ones with visibility.   It’s a great look at the week ahead.

*Please note that these are Investment Grade Corporates only. They do not include SSA issuance unless otherwise noted. As always “thank you” to all the syndicate desks that participated in today’s survey. My weekly technical data re-cap and question posed to the “Best and the Brightest” early this morning was as follows:

To frame this week’s survey question, here are this week’s IG new issue volume talking points:

  • The IG Corporate WTD total finished over 128% above this week’s syndicate midpoint average forecast or $39.200b vs. $30.48b.
  • MTD we’ve now priced just over 120% of the syndicate projection for May or $148.138b vs. $123.42b.
  • The all-in MTD total (IG Corporates plus SSA) currently stands at $171.038b ranking this May as the 7th highest volume month of all-time and second largest of 2017 behind January’s #1 overall ranking at $227.283b.
  • As of today, the YTD IG Corporate-only volume is $624.514b vs. $602.869 on May 25th, 2016 or 3.59% more than a year ago.
  • The all-in or IG Corporate plus SSA YTD volume is $778.656b vs $791.618 on May 25th, 2016 or <1.64%> less than last the year ago total.

Here are this week’s five key primary market driver averages from the 48 IG Corporate-only deals that priced:

  • NICS:  <5.45> bps
  • Oversubscription Rates: 3.74x
  • Tenors:  11.37 years
  • Tranche Sizes: $817mm
  • Spread Compression from IPTs to the Launch: <20.05> bps

Here’s how this week’s performance data compares against last week’s:

  • Average NICs tightened dramatically by <6.69> bps to <5.45> bps vs. 1.24 bps.
  • Over subscription or bid-to-cover rates, the measure of demand, increased 0.54x to 3.74x vs. 3.20x. 
  • Average tenors extended by 2.68 years to 11.37 vs. 8.69 years.
  • Tranche sizes decreased by $114mm to $817mm vs. $931mm.
  • Spread compression from IPTs to the launch/final pricing of this week’s 48 IG Corporate-only new issues tightened <2.24> bps to <20.05> bps vs. <17.81> bps.
  • Standard and Poor’s Investment Grade Composite Spreads tightened 1 bp to +161 vs. +162.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS thru this morning was unchanged at 1.13. 
  • Week-on-week, BAML’s IG Master Index tightened 1 bp to +118 vs. +119. 
  • Spreads across the four IG asset classes widened 0.25 bps to 13.25 bps vs. 13.00 as measured against their post-Crisis lows. 
  • The 19 major industry sectors also tightened 0.68 bps to 16.58 vs. 17.26.
  • For the week ended May 24h, Lipper U.S. Fund Flows reported an inflow of $2.089b into Corporate Investment Grade Funds (2017 YTD net inflow of $57.067b) and a net outflow of $567.960m from High Yield Funds (2017 YTD net outflow of $6.008b).
  • The OIS forward market – the best measure of implied probability for a June rate hike – is 80%.
  • Taking a look at the secondary trading performance of this week’s IG and SSA new issues, of the 54 deals that printed, 43 tightened versus NIP for a 79.50% improvement rate while 6 widened (11.00%) and 5 were flat (9.50%).

Entering today’s Friday’s session here’s how much we issued this week:

  • IG Corps: $39.20b
  • All-in IG (Corps + SSA): $49.70b

This week lived up to expectations and to within 3.50% of the highest estimate which was $40b.  The headliner was of course this week’s terrible suicide bombing in Manchester, U.K. targeting children at a concert leaving 22 killed, 59 wounded and the U.K. on its highest national terror alert – “CRITICAL.” Trump controversies (FBI/Russia) remained backstage as his first foreign tour took center stage. The takeaways were the Middle East trip with net positives in Saudi Arabia and Israel. Trump also challenged European leadership to pay their fair share as NATO members.  He was vocal about the war on terror, labeling terrorists “LOSERS” and emphasized the unity of all faiths particularly Christians, Jews and Muslims to “eradicate terrorists from our planet.” The OIS forward market – the best measure of implied probability for a June rate hike – is 80%. North Korea continued test firing missiles; China was downgraded to “A1” from Aa3” by Moody’s though placed on outlook “stable” from “negative”; Italian elections are the next big event coming to Europe with a possible “QUITALY” on tap as myriad political factions share one commonality – leaving the EU in a nation that has seen 72 post WWII governments in 72 years!; Italian debt to GDP is a staggering 133%; There are 5 IG Corporate or Yankee new issues in the pipeline that we know about.

Along those lines today’s once a month TWO-PART question is, “what are your thoughts and numbers for BOTH NEXT WEEK and JUNE IG Corporate new issue volume? Thank you in advance for your time and contribution! 

I hope my daily “QC” and these Friday data downloads are helpful and informative to you.  Without your input this “QC” survey can’t get done.  I truly appreciate your meaningful sound bites that bring your numbers and ranges to life. A LOT of issuers that your firm banks read this every day and they love it!  I consistently receive positive feedback about the “QC” from them directly.  So, you should know that you are personally contributing to a much bigger picture while also helping the nation’s oldest Service Disabled Veteran broker-dealer build in a more meaningful and sustainable way especially during this – our Memorial Day Monthly Pledge Drive in which we donate 10% of our firm’s profits to veteran and other worthy causes.

Thank you very much and have a great Memorial Day weekend! -Ron

 

The “Best and the Brightest” in Their Own Words

Responses from fixed income syndicate desks and bookrunners canvassed in this week’s poll is available exclusively to QC email distribution list members. To receive the QC, please contact Rob Karr, Managing Director, Head of Capital Markets via rkarr@mischlerfinancial.com

 

 

“Knowing the Past for the Future” – A Look at a Decade’s Worth of June IG Corporate and SSA Issuance

 

  • Across the past ten years, all-in dollar-denominated IG Corporate plus SSA June new issuance averaged $84.61b.
  • Over the past five years, all-in IG June new issuance averaged $93.03b.
  • Over the past three years, all-in IG June issuance has averaged $113.65b.
  • The past three years, June IG Corporate only issuance averaged $98.37b.
  • June SSA issuance has averaged $15.27b across the last three years.

 

June
(Year)
All-in IG Issuance ($bn) IG Corps
only ($bn)
SSA
only ($bn)
2016 98.422 87.922 10.50
2015 111.906 97.156 14.75
2014 130.61 110.04 20.57
2013 42.19 40.24 1.95
2012 82.01 67.95 14.06
2011 51.24 31.33 19.91
2010 67.13 43.52 23.61
2009 119.77 64.29 55.48
2008 59.88 42.43 17.45
2007 83.00 63.07 19.93

*Note: includes TARP/TALF & FDIC insured issuance

 

About Memorial Day
mischler financial service-disabled veteran-owned broker-dealer
Memorial Day was the result of the Civil War with a strong desire to honor our nation’s dead. It was proclaimed by General John Logan commander of our U.S. National Army on May 30th, 1868.  New York was the first state to recognize Memorial Day in 1873. By 1890, all northern states recognized the Day.  The South refused to do so until after World War I when it was not solely to commemorate those lost in the Civil War. Memorial Day officially became a national holiday in 1971 thru an Act of Congress.

Here is how it all got started:

HEADQUARTERS GRAND ARMY OF THE REPUBLIC

General Orders No.11, WASHINGTON, D.C., May 5, 1868

 

  1. The 30th day of May, 1868, is designated for the purpose of strewing with flowers or otherwise decorating the graves of comrades who died in defense of their country during the late rebellion, and whose bodies now lie in almost every city, village, and hamlet church-yard in the land. In this observance no form of ceremony is prescribed, but posts and comrades will in their own way arrange such fitting services and testimonials of respect as circumstances may permit.

We are organized, comrades, as our regulations tell us, for the purpose among other things, “of preserving and strengthening those kind and fraternal feelings which have bound together the soldiers, sailors, and marines who united to suppress the late rebellion.” What can aid more to assure this result than cherishing tenderly the memory of our heroic dead, who made their breasts a barricade between our country and its foes? Their soldier lives were the reveille of freedom to a race in chains, and their deaths the tattoo of rebellious tyranny in arms. We should guard their graves with sacred vigilance. All that the consecrated wealth and taste of the nation can add to their adornment and security is but a fitting tribute to the memory of her slain defenders. Let no wanton foot tread rudely on such hallowed grounds. Let pleasant paths invite the coming and going of reverent visitors and fond mourners. Let no vandalism of avarice or neglect, no ravages of time testify to the present or to the coming generations that we have forgotten as a people the cost of a free and undivided republic.

If other eyes grow dull, other hands slack, and other hearts cold in the solemn trust, ours shall keep it well as long as the light and warmth of life remain to us.

Let us, then, at the time appointed gather around their sacred remains and garland the passionless mounds above them with the choicest flowers of spring-time; let us raise above them the dear old flag they saved from hishonor; let us in this solemn presence renew our pledges to aid and assist those whom they have left among us a sacred charge upon a nation’s gratitude, the soldier’s and sailor’s widow and orphan.

  1. It is the purpose of the Commander-in-Chief to inaugurate this observance with the hope that it will be kept up from year to year, while a survivor of the war remains to honor the memory of his departed comrades. He earnestly desires the public press to lend its friendly aid in bringing to the notice of comrades in all parts of the country in time for simultaneous compliance therewith.
  2. Department commanders will use efforts to make this order effective.

By order of

JOHN A. LOGAN,
Commander-in-Chief

N.P. CHIPMAN,
Adjutant General

Official:
WM. T. COLLINS, A.A.G.

Remember our Veterans

mischler financial veteran-owned broker-dealer-memorial-day-2017

Never forget those who made the ultimate sacrifice so that we can all do what we do every day.

God Bless our nation’s veterans and their families; God Bless you and your families and God Bless America!

Have a safe and wonderful Memorial Day weekend everyone!
Ron Quigley

 

Below please find my synopsis of everything Syndicate and Secondary from today’s debt capital markets, including the investment grade corporate bond data drill down as seen from my seat here in Syndicate, Sales and DCM.

NICs, Bid-to-Covers, Tenors, Sizes and Average Spread Compression from IPTs thru Launches

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A Tribute to Roger Moore’s AAA-Rated Bond; Mischler Debt Market Comment
May 2017      Debt Market Commentary   

Quigley’s Corner 05.23.17- Tribute to Roger Moore’s AAA-Rated Bond

Below is the opening extract from Quigley’s Corner aka “QC” Tuesday May 23, 2017  edition distributed via email to institutional investment managers and Fortune Treasury clients of Mischler Financial Group, the investment industry’s oldest minority broker-dealer owned and operated by Service-Disabled Veterans.

Cited by Wall Street Letter in each of 2014, 2015 and 2016 for “Best Research / Broker-Dealer”, the QC is one of three distinctive market comment pieces produced by Mischler Financial Group. The QC is a daily synopsis of everything Syndicate and Secondary as seen from the perch of our fixed income trading and debt capital markets desk. The QC includes a comprehensive “deep dive” with optics on the day’s investment grade corporate debt new issuance and secondary market data encompassing among other items, comparables, investment grade credit spreads, new issue activity, secondary market most active issues, and upcoming pipeline. To receive Quigley’s Corner, please email: rkarr@mischlerfinancial.com or via phone 203.276.6646

Investment Grade New Issue Re-Cap:  Bonds, Bonds and Roger Moore’s AAA Rated Bond

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

Global Market Recap

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates

NICs, Bid-to-Covers, Tenors, Sizes and Average Spread Compression from IPTs thru Launches

New Issues Priced

Indexes and New Issue Volume

Lipper Report/Fund Flows – Week ending May 17th         

IG Credit Spreads by Rating

IG Credit Spreads by Industry

New Issue Pipeline

M&A Pipeline – $216.2 Billion in Cumulative Enterprise Value

Economic Data Releases

Rates Trading Lab

Tomorrow’s Calendar

 

The vibrant IG primary DCM continued along its trajectory today with 9 IG Corporate issuers pricing 18 tranches between them totaling $13.325b.  The SSA space saw KfW boost the volume totals with a $5b 3-year for an all-in IG day total of 10 issuers, 19 tranches and $18.325b.

 

  • The IG Corporate WTD total is over 109% of this week’s syndicate midpoint average forecast or $33.40b vs. $30.48b.
  • MTD we’ve now priced more than 115% just above the IG Corporate mid-range syndicate projection for May or $142.338b vs. $123.42b.
  • There are now 6 IG Corporate, Yankee and/or SSA new issues in the IG credit pipeline.
  • The all-in IG Corporate plus SSA MTD total is now $159.738b.

 

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

 

  • Great-West Lifeco upped its 30-year Senior Notes new issue to $700mm from $500mm at the launch and at the tightest side of guidance.
  • Public Storage increased its $25 PerpNC5 preferred new issue today to $250mm from $100mm.
  • Activision Blizzard Inc. its $1.2b 3-part 5-, 10- and 30-year Senior Notes new issue launch 5 bps tighter than the tightest side of guidance today on each of the three tranches.  A rarity among rarities and worth posting here..
  • DDR Corp. increased its 10-year Senior Notes new issue to $450mm from $300mm.
  • Ascension Health upsized the tap of its 3(a)(4) exempt 3.945% Senior Unsecured Notes due 11/15/2046 to $225mm vs. $220mm bringing the new total to $925mm.
  • The average spread compression from IPTs thru the launch/final pricing of today’s 15 IG Corporate-only new issues, that displayed price evolution and excluding today’s $25 Perp NC5 Preferred was <21.73> bps.
  • The average spread compression including today’s $25 PerpNC5 Preferred was <21.00>.
  • BAML’s IG Master Index was unchanged at +118.  +106 represents the post-Crisis low dating back to July 2007.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS tightened 1 bp +112 versus +113.
  • Standard & Poor’s Investment Grade Composite Spread was unchanged at +161.  The +140 reached on July 30th 2014 represents the post-Crisis low.
  • Investment grade corporate bond trading posted a final Trace count of $16.4b on Monday versus $11.3b on Friday and $15.4b the previous Monday.
  • The 10-DMA stands at $17.1b.

 

Global Market Recap

 

  • U.S. Treasuries – 4th losing session in a row for the UST market.
  • Overseas Bonds – JGB’s better except the 5yr. Europe closed mixed.
  • Stocks – 4th winning session in a row for U.S. stocks
  • Overseas Stocks – Asia closed down while Europe rallied.
  • Economic – U.S. data was a mixed bag. FOMC Minutes tomorrow.
  • Overseas Economic – Japan data was mixed. Solid data in Europe except the U.K.
  • Currencies – USD traded very well during NY hours.
  • Commodities – CRB, natural gas, gold & wheat closed red while crude oil moved higher.
  • CDX IG: -0.29 to 61.91
  • CDX HY: -0.74 to 327.04
  • CDX EM: -3.89 to 193.37

*CDX levels are as of 3:30PM ET today.

-Tony Farren

 

The “QC” Geopolitical Risk Monitor

 

Risk Level/Main Factor Geopolitical Risks
HIGH
Asian Political Tensions
·           N. Korea “deployment and mass production” of ballistic missiles that could reach Japan & Guam.

·           Increasing tensions between North Korea (pop: 24mm) & South Korea (pop: 44mm).

·           Dictator Kim Jong-Un increasingly belligerent and irreverent to international community.

·           Disruption of political landscape in the Pacific Rim.

ELEVATED
BREXIT Fallout/
Terror Event in U.K.
·           Suicide bombing in Manchester kills 22 wounding over 50. ISIS claimed responsibility.

·           Pres. Trump lashes out at terrorists; urges unity of people of all faiths to destroy radical factions.

·           Contentious U.K./EU negotiations over BREXIT. U.K. threatens to abandon talks.

·           2nd Scottish independence referendum Fall 2018 or Spring 2019. Also support for a vote in Ireland.

CAUTION
“Trump Factor”
·          Trump tax reform challenges & consensus GOP support to pass legislation questioned.

·          FBI Controversy over firing of Comey/Russia scandal?

·          Potential mid-term election loss to Dems in 11/2018 will impede any progress/GOP dissension.

·          U.S. partisan politics reach zenith combined with media war against Trump

·          Will the Donald be able to fulfill campaign promises & how long before his tax reform plan?

MODERATE
“Dysfunction Junction”
·          Syria/Terrorism/Venezuelan civil unrest/Brazil’s scandal & new recession.

·          Russia meddling in international elections/Russia in expansion mode

MARGINAL
2018 U.S. Recession
·         Chance of a 2018 U.S. recession.

·         Highly fractious Italian political landscape. 64 governments in 72 Post WWII years.

·         Italy’s 5 Star Movement & EU skeptic parties have more influence than in other EU elections.

·         As Italian elections approach, EU risks increase significantly/Italian debt-to-GDP ratio is 133%.

·         A referendum vote could result in a “QUITALY”/Also, China hard landing

 

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

 

IG Corporate New Issuance This Week
5/22-5/26
vs. Current
WTD – $33.40b
May 2017
Forecasts
vs. Current
MTD – $142.338b
Low-End Avg. $29.69b 112.50% $122.27b 116.41%
Midpoint Avg. $30.48b 109.58% $123.42b 115.33%
High-End Avg. $31.27b 106.81% $124.56b 114.27%
The Low $20b 167.00% $100b 142.338%
The High $40b 83.50% $150b 94.89%

 

……….and Roger Moore,  the AAA Rated Bond

bond tribute roger moore AAA rated

 

 

The 25 Bond films have grossed a total of $7.1 billion in global box office receipts. It is estimated that half of the world’s population has seen a James Bond film. Ian Fleming’s 14 Bond books have sold over 100 million copies.  (I have read all them……twice!) So, it’s no wonder this USC film school graduate, long ago TV commercial film producer and film buff was bummed out this morning upon hearing of the passing of Sir Roger Moore at the age of 89 in Switzerland.  A private funeral will be held in Monaco so Roger will be going out in true Bond style.

It was another act of violence, this time in Manchester, England last evening that kept many viewers transfixed to their televisions. Thoughts and prayers extended for the 22 killed, the 59 injured and their respective families, relatives and friends. What makes it so difficult to fathom such an act in our civilized society is that yesterday’s suicide bombing took the lives of so many young children who had just enjoyed a concert. Tragic. So, tragic.  What also gripped me last night was that as I watched, it became immediately noticeable how objective the news reporting was as I switched cable news channels during commercial breaks. The journalists and anchors did their job as live feeds came in and the story developed before our eyes.  It was a tragedy that took the lives of innocent people to get the media industry to report objectively (FINALLY!) and they each did a highly commendable job.  But it left me wanting more from them and not just in covering last evening’s story but in covering news – generally speaking – as it should be every single day.

Segue to this morning’s coverage of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s speech and introduction of President Trump who then spoke eloquently about history, religion, and the war on terror.  The message was clear – Christians, Jews and Muslims alike should unite to aggressively confront threats to our civilization and to each of our religions so we can all enjoy living together in our increasingly diverse world.

 

In light of the harsh realities of our new world order and common fight against terror it’s no surprise then to realize that for 55 years dating back to Dr. No in 1962, people have found and embraced a universal James Bond, the super spy character created by Ian Fleming. We all need a ruthless hero in the form of a good guy who at times has to execute bad things for the greater good. When he empties a full revolver into his first onscreen kill in Doctor No, he quips, “That’s a Smith & Wesson, and you’ve had your six.”  In film we can appeal to our primordial instincts and Bond exits as hero each time the world traveler tracks down and kills society’s evil thugs.  One can get away with that in film.  Like relative value studies, it’s part art part science.  It’s film, but it’s portrayed by real living performers.  Bond is decisive and gets his job down each and every time. He kills people who deserve to die and, viewers all agree, they need to go.  Just like terrorists in today’s world. Roger Moore starred in a total of seven Bond epics and endeared himself throughout the world audience through his refreshing portrayal of the daring character he played.  Following on the heels of Sean Connery, Moore knew from his first Bond adventure, Live and Let Die, that he couldn’t be the former so he added amusing humor to the character in a very deadpan, witty and raffish way admired the around the world.

Bond does it with class, adventure, luxury and with the most gorgeous people by his side in the world’s most exotic locations.  He has taste, style, sophistication and oh that sense of humor. A good guy killer wrapped in a tuxedo. With his mission accomplished Bond always takes a sabbatical from work as a reward for saving society from domineering bad guys and terrorists. So, last night’s tragic evening segued into a somber and seriously Presidential speech this morning that then turned into the sad news of the passing of Sir Roger Moore who in his own right did so much in his retirement as UNICEF’s world Ambassador – which he always said was his life’s greatest achievement.  Even Bond gives back to society! We need Bond. We like when the good guy wins.  When we get the bad guy and do it with  style, with panache and in a raffish way, it’s feels even better.  That’s Illusion vs. reality unfortunately.  A lot of things coming together here at once.  The tragedy in Manchester, a President serious about eradicating terrorism and the wish that we had some savior to execute the mission, like James Bond – a fictitious character who was perhaps best portrayed by Roger Moore, who sadly passed away today.

Last Scene From The Spy Who Loved Me

Bond (Roger Moore) and Asamova (Barbara Bach) are discovered by their respective bosses making love in a life boat capsule at sea:

M: 007?
Russian General Gogol: Triple X!!
Minister of Defense: Bond! What do you think you’re doing?
Bond: Keeping the British end up, sir.

Have a great evening!
Ron Quigley

 

Below please find my synopsis of everything Syndicate and Secondary from today’s debt capital markets, including the investment grade corporate bond data drill down as seen from my seat here in Syndicate, Sales and DCM.

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Municipal Bond Offerings Week of 05-22-17; NY Hudson Yards Infrastructure Corp
May 2017      Muni Market   

Mischler Muni-bond Market Outlook for the week commencing 05.22.17 looks back to last week’s metrics and provides a lens focused on pending municipal bond offerings scheduled for the upcoming week.  Muni bond inflows increased last week, supported by a risk-on view toward intermediate maturities within the municipal debt market. As always, the Mischler Muni Market Outlook provides public finance investment managers, institutional investors focused on municipal debt and municipal bond market participants a summary of prior week’s municipal debt activity, including credit spreads and money flows, and a curated view of pending municipal finance offerings scheduled for this week’s issuance.

Last week muni volume was about $8.4 billion. This week volume is expected to be $7.0 billion with an early close on Friday. The negotiated market is led by $2.15 billion for Hudson Yards
Infrastructure Corporation, New York. The competitive market is led by $173.1 million for San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency, California on Wed.

Below and attached is neither a recommendation or offer to purchase or sell securities. Mischler Financial Group is not a Municipal Advisor. For additional information, please contact Managing Director Richard Tilghman at 203.276.6656

For reading ease, please click on image below

mischler muni market hudson yards

To illustrate our presence within the Debt Capital Markets space: since 2014 alone,  Mischler has led, co-managed and/or served as selling group member for more than $600 Billion (notional value) in new debt and preferred shares issued by Fortune corporations, as well as debt issued by various municipalities and US Government agencies.

Mischler Financial Group is a federally-certified Service-Disabled Veteran Owned Business Enterprise (SDVOBE) and a recognized minority broker-dealer. Mischler Muni Market updates are provided as a courtesy to institutional clients of Mischler Financial Group, Inc.

This document may be not reproduced in any manner without the permission of Mischler Financial Group. Although the statements of fact have been obtained from and are based upon sources Mischler Financial Group believes reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete.  All opinions and estimates included in this report are subject to change without notice.  This report is for informational purposes and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security.   Veteran-owned broker-dealer Mischler Financial Group, its affiliates and their respective officers, directors, partners and employees, including persons involved in the preparation of this report, may from time to time maintain a long or short position in, or purchase or sell a position in, hold or act as market-makers or advisors or brokers in relation to the securities (or related securities, financial products, options, warrants, rights, or derivatives), of companies mentioned in this report or be represented on the board of such companies. Neither Mischler Financial Group nor any officer or employee of Mischler Financial Group or any affiliate thereof accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect or consequential damages or losses arising from any use of this report or its contents.

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Qualcomm Kills It With Mega Bond Deal; QC Geopolitical Risk Monitor
May 2017      Debt Market Commentary   

Quigley’s Corner 05.19.17- Qualcomm 11b Debt Deal 3.33x Oversubscribed; the QC Geopolitical Risk Monitor

Below is the opening extract from Quigley’s Corner aka “QC”  Friday May 19, 2017  edition distributed via email to institutional investment managers and Fortune Treasury clients of Mischler Financial Group, the investment industry’s oldest minority broker-dealer owned and operated by Service-Disabled Veterans.

Cited by Wall Street Letter in each of 2014, 2015 and 2016 for “Best Research / Broker-Dealer”, the QC is one of three distinctive market comment pieces produced by Mischler Financial Group.The QC is a daily synopsis of everything Syndicate and Secondary as seen from the perch of our fixed income trading and debt capital markets desk and includes a comprehensive “deep dive” with optics on the day’s investment grade corporate debt new issuance and secondary market data encompassing among other items, comparables, investment grade credit spreads, new issue activity, secondary market most active issues, and upcoming pipeline.

To receive Quigley’s Corner, please email: rkarr@mischlerfinancial.com or via phone 203.276.6646

 

Investment Grade New Issue Re-Cap – QualComm (NASDAQ: QCOM) Prices Largest Single Friday Issuer Deal Ever!
A Look at Qualcomm’s Book Splits and NICs Per Tranche

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

The “QC” Geopolitical Risk Monitor

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

The Best and the Brightest” Syndicate Forecasts and Sound Bites for Next Week 

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates for Next Week

NICs, Bid-to-Covers, Tenors, Sizes and Average Spread Compression from IPTs thru Launches

New Issues Priced

This Week’s IG New Issues and Where They’re Trading
Indexes and New Issue Volume

Lipper Report/Fund Flows – Week ending May 17th         

IG Credit Spreads by Rating

IG Credit Spreads by Industry

New Issue Pipeline

M&A Pipeline

Economic Data Releases

Rates Trading Lab

Tomorrow’s Calendar

 

Qualcomm Inc. wasted no time taking full advantage of a favorable rate environment what with the CT10yr yielding 2.23% or 11bps tighter than Monday and a full 18 bps tighter versus 7 sessions ago. Today the semiconductor giant priced an $11mm 9-part transaction across 2-, 3- and 5.5-year FXD/FRNS as well as 7s/10s and 30s. Last evening I expressed concern of potential congestion in the IG dollar primary markets for next week given yesterday’s zero print day and Wednesday that only hosted only 3 issuers and 4 tranches totaling $1.35b.  As a result, many issuers stood down this week while the new issue pipeline swelled to a total of 15 deals as of this writing.  A large part of that is expected to hit the tapes next week which has four days to get business done as we enter the long Memorial Day weekend while ushering in summer.  As a result, when Qualcomm hit this morning’s tape I was not surprised at all. It makes perfect sense as the issuer owned the leaderboard with nothing in its way.  Trump flew overseas today for a 9-day foreign trip and hopefully leaving “swamp talk” behind for the time being.  Market tone is firm as all signs pointed toward – P-R-I-N-T!

Today ranks up there as one of the largest single Friday issuance days in our IG dollar DCM. Congrats to Qualcomm and the leads.

Qualcomm’s $11b mega deal garnered a final cumulative order book total of $36.65b or 3.33-times oversubscribed. 

A Look at Qualcomm’s Book Splits and NICs Per Tranche

QCOM Size Final Book
Size
Final
Bid-to-Cover
NICs
2yr FRN $750mm $2.10b 2.80x 10 bps
2yr FXD $1.25b $3.00b 2.40x 10 bps
3yr FRN $500mm $1.70b 3.40x 10 bps
3yr FXD $1.50b $5.40b 3.60x 10 bps
5.5yr FRN $500mm $1.85b 3.70x 10 bps
5.5yr FXD $1.50b $5.50b 3.67x 10 bps
7yr FXD $1.50b $4.50b 3.00x 10 bps
10yr FXD $2.00b $6.50b 3.25x 5 bps
30yr FXD $1.50b $6.10b 4.07x <5> bps

 

  • The IG Corporate WTD total is now 22% above this week’s syndicate midpoint average forecast or $36.30b vs. $29.73b.
  • MTD we’ve now priced just above 88% of the IG Corporate mid-range syndicate projection for May or $108.938b vs. $123.42b.
  • There are 15 IG Corporate, Yankee and/or SSA new issues in the IG credit pipeline.
  • The all-in IG Corporate plus SSA MTD total is now $121.338b.

 

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

 

  • For the week ended May 17th, Lipper U.S. Fund Flows reported an inflow of $3.101b into Corporate Investment Grade Funds (2017 YTD net inflow of $54.978b) and a net inflow of $649.528m into High Yield Funds (2017 YTD net outflow of $5.441b).
  • The average spread compression from IPTs and/or guidance thru the launch/final pricing of today’s 9 IG Corporate-only new issues was <16.11> bps.
  • BAML’s IG Master Index widened 1 bp to +119 versus +118.  +106 represents the post-Crisis low dating back to July 2007.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS widened 1 bp to 1.13 versus 1.12.
  • Standard & Poor’s Investment Grade Composite Spread was unchanged at +162.  The +140 reached on July 30th 2014 represents the post-Crisis low.
  • Investment grade corporate bond trading posted a final Trace count of $15.2b on Thursday versus $17.9b on Wednesday and $17.9b the previous Thursday.
  • The 10-DMA stands at $17.3b.

 

The “QC” Geopolitical Risk Monitor

*Additions in bold.

 

Risk Level/Main Factor Geopolitical Risks
HIGH
Asian Political Tensions
·           N. Korean nuclear intentions & ballistic missile experiments could reach Japan & perhaps U.S.

·           Tensions between North Korea  (pop: 24mm) & South Korea (pop: 44mm).

·           Dictator Kim Jong-Un increasingly belligerent and irreverent to international community.

·           Disruption of political landscape in the Pacific Rim.

ELEVATED
BREXIT Fallout
·           Contentious and exhaustive U.K./EU settlement payout negotiations over BREXIT.

·           Independence referendum revisited in Scotland and with support for a vote in Ireland.

·           Potential for receding U.K. influence given England, Wales and Isle of Man.

·           Irish unification?

CAUTION
Italian Elections
·          Highly fractious Italian political landscape. 64 governments in 72 Post WWII years.

·          5 Star Movement & EU skeptic parties have more influence than in other EU national elections.

·          As Italian elections approach, EU risks increase significantly./Italian debt-to-GDP ratio is 133%.

·          A referendum vote could result in a “QUITALY”/Also, China hard landing

MODERATE
“Dysfunction Junction”
·          U.S. partisan politics reach zenith combined with media war against Trump.

·          Will the Donald be able to fulfill campaign promises & how long before his tax reform plan?

·          Russia in expansion mode/Syria/Terrorism/Civil unrest in Venezuela/Brazil’s corruption scandal.

·          Russia meddling in international elections.

MARGINAL
2018 U.S. Recession
·          Trump tax reform challenges & consensus GOP support to pass legislation questioned.

·          Reliant on Italian election outcome/Avoidance of Korean conflict.

·          Perception of U.S. leadership in international community.

·          Potential mid-term election loss to Democrats in Nov. 2018 will impede any progress.

 

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

 

IG Corporate New Issuance This Week
5/15-5/19
vs. Current
WTD – $36.30b
May 2017
Forecasts
vs. Current
MTD – $108.938b
Low-End Avg. $28.69b 126.52% $122.27b 89.10%
Midpoint Avg. $29.73b 122.10% $123.42b 88.27%
High-End Avg. $30.77b 117.97% $124.56b 87.46%
The Low $20b 181.50% $100b 108.938%
The High $40b 90.75% $150b 72.63%

 

The Best and the Brightest”  Syndicate Forecasts and Sound Bites for Next Week 

 

I am happy to announce that the “QC” once again received 100% unanimous participation from all 24 syndicate desks surveyed for today’s “Best & Brightest” edition!  19 of those participants are among 2017’s YTD top 21 ranked syndicate desks according to today’s Bloomberg’s U.S. IG U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond underwriting league table.  23 are in the top 27 of that same table. The 2017 League table can be found on your terminals at “LEAG” + [GO] after which you select (US Investment Grade Corporates).  The participating desks represent 81.78% of all IG dollar-denominated new issue underwriting as of today’s table share percentage which simply means they’re the ones with visibility.  But it’s not only about their volume forecasts, it’s also about their comments!  This core syndicate group does it best; they know best; so they’re the ones you WANT and NEED to hear from.  It’s a great look at the week ahead.

*Please note that these are Investment Grade Corporates only. They do not include SSA issuance unless otherwise noted. 

My weekly technical data re-cap and question posed to the “Best and the Brightest” early this morning was framed as follows:

 

Here are this week’s IG new issue volume talking points:

 

  • The IG Corporate WTD total is now over 22% above this week’s syndicate midpoint average forecast or $36.30b vs. $29.73b.
  • MTD we’ve priced more than 88% of the syndicate projection for May or $108.938b vs. $123.42b.
  • The all-in MTD total (IG Corporates plus SSA) currently stands at $121.338b.
  • As of today, the YTD IG Corporate-only volume is $585.314b vs. $579.644 on May 19th, 2016 or 0.97% more than a year ago.
  • The all-in or IG Corporate plus SSA YTD volume is $728.956b vs $754.793 on May 19th, 2016 or <3.42%> less than last the year ago total.

 

Here are this week’s five key primary market driver averages from the 30 IG Corporate-only deals that priced:

 

o   NICS:  1.24 bps

o   Oversubscription Rates: 3.20x

o   Tenors:  8.69 years

o   Tranche Sizes: $931mm

o   Spread Compression from IPTs to the Launch: <17.81> bps


Here’s how this week’s performance data compares against last week’s: 

  • Average NICs widened 1.04 bps this week to 1.24 bps vs. <0.20>.
  • Over subscription or bid-to-cover rates, the measure of demand, increased 0.48x to 3.20x vs. 2.72x. 
  • Average tenors extended by a mere 0.03 years to 8.69 years vs. 8.66 years.
  • Tranche sizes increased by $129mm to $931mm vs. $802mm.
  • Spread compression from IPTs to the launch/final pricing of this week’s 42 IG Corporate-only new issues widened <1.70> bps to <17.81> bps vs. <19.51> bps.
  • Standard and Poor’s Investment Grade Composite Spreads widened 1 bp to +162 vs. +161.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS thru this morning widened 1 bp to 1.13 vs. 1.12. 
  • Week-on-week, BAML’s IG Master Index widened by 1 bp to +119 vs. +118. 
  • Spreads across the four IG asset classes widened 0.75 bps to 13.00 bps vs. 12.25 as measured against their post-Crisis lows. 
  • The 19 major industry sectors also widened 0.47 bps to 17.26 vs. 16.79 bps against their post-Crisis lows.
  • For the week ended May 17th, Lipper U.S. Fund Flows reported an inflow of $3.101b into Corporate Investment Grade Funds (2017 YTD net inflow of $54.978b) and a net inflow of $649.528m into High Yield Funds (2017 YTD net outflow of $5.441b).

Entering today’s Friday’s session here’s how much we issued this week:

  • IG Corps: $36.30b
  • All-in IG (Corps + SSA): $41.30b

The Trump Slump and Beltway Dysfunction disrupted markets Wednesday and Thursday. Media allegations of a Russian-Trump election scandal and accusations of a Trump attempt to strong arm ex-FBI chief James Comey resulted in a crisis of confidence on Capitol Hill.  Late Thursday afternoon, however, it was revealed that Comey testified under Senate oath on May 3rd saying the Trump Administration “DID NOT pressure the FBI to halt any investigation for political purposes.”  The market will now be able to get back to business.  WIRP currently indicates a 90% chance of a June Fed rate hike vs. 100% last Friday. North Korea continues test firing missiles with plans of yet another nuclear test. Next week is the last week before our long Memorial Day weekend and kick-off to summer.  There are 15 IG Corporate, Yankee and or EM new issues in the pipeline that we know about. Becton, Dickinson and Tyson Foods, among others loom large in the week ahead.

Along those lines what are your thoughts and numbers for next week’s IG Corporate new issue volume and thank you in advance for your time and contribution!

 

The “Best and the Brightest” in Their Own Words

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FIGs Lead Day’s DCM Funding; Gulf Power Co “Deal-of-the-Day”- Mischler Comment
May 2017      Debt Market Commentary   

Quigley’s Corner 05.15.17 FIGs Lead DCM Funding; Southern Co’s Gulf Power Building The Future of Energy 

 

Investment Grade Corporate Debt New Issue Re-Cap

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

Global Market Recap

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

Building the Future of Energy – Gulf Power Co. $300mm 3.30% Senior Notes due 5/30/2027

Answering Another Call of Duty: Southern Company’s Commitment to the Military – Pride. Duty. Honor. Discipline.

A Reiteration of Mischler’s 2017 Memorial Day Month Pledge

NICs, Bid-to-Covers, Tenors, Sizes and Average Spread Compression from IPTs thru Launches

New Issues Priced

Indexes and New Issue Volume

Lipper Report/Fund Flows – Week ending May 10th         

IG Credit Spreads by Rating

IG Credit Spreads by Industry

New Issue Pipeline

M&A Pipeline

Economic Data Releases

Rates Trading Lab

Tomorrow’s Calendar

 

12 IG Corporate issuers announced deals today pricing 16 tranches between them totaling $13.50b.  There was no SSA activity in the session. The day’s highest volume deals came from two FIGs namely HSBC Holdings Plc and Wells Fargo that each printed a $3 billion transaction.  Additionally, today’s IG dollar DCM featured a total of four 2-part transactions from ANZ Banking Group Ltd., ANZ Banking Group NY Branch, BPCE and Manufacturers & Traders Trust.  However, the session’s Deal-of-the-Day belongs to Southern Company’s subsidiary Gulf Power Co. that issued a $300mm 3.30% due 5/30/2027.  You know what that means!  If it’s a Deal-of-the-Day, I’m writing about it; and if I’m writing about it, it means Mischler Financial, the nation’s oldest Service Disabled Veteran broker dealer served on the deal as an active 3.00% Co-Manager.

Let’s first run through today’s IG primary market tally and re-caps before we take the deep dive into the Gulf Power deal.

  • The IG Corporate WTD total is now over 45% of this week’s syndicate midpoint average forecast or $13.50b vs. $29.73b.
  • MTD we’ve now priced nearly 70% of the IG Corporate mid-range syndicate projection for May or $86.138b vs. $123.42b.
  • There are now 8 IG Yankee and/or SSA new issues in the IG credit pipeline.
  • The all-in IG Corporate plus SSA MTD total is now $93.538b.

 

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

 

  • The average spread compression from IPTs and/or guidance thru the launch/final pricing of today’s 16 IG Corporate-only new issues was <18.67> bps which includes the Dominion Energy Inc. remarketing.
  • BAML’s IG Master Index was unchanged at +118.  +106 represents the post-Crisis low dating back to July 2007.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS was unchanged at 1.12.
  • Standard & Poor’s Investment Grade Composite Spread widened 1 bp to +162 versus +161.  The +140 reached on July 30th 2014 represents the post-Crisis low.
  • Investment grade corporate bond trading posted a final Trace count of $14.7b on Friday versus $17.9b on Thursday and $13.7b the previous Friday.
  • The 10-DMA stands at $16.7b.

 

Global Market Recap

 

  • S. Treasuries – Small losses in very light volume.
  • Overseas Bonds – JGB’s were mixed. Long end in EU core & semi core struggled.
  • Stocks – Bid heading into close. S&P’s and NASDAQ traded at all-time highs.
  • Overseas Stocks – Asia better, expected small loss for Nikkei. FTSE & DAX reach all-time highs.
  • Economic – Empire manufacturing weaker. NAHB housing stronger. Full calendar tomorrow.
  • Overseas Economic – Japan PPI YoY highest since November, 2014. Weaker data in China.
  • Currencies – Back-to-back down days for the DXY Index.
  • Commodities – CRB, crude oil, gold, copper & silver higher. Down day for wheat.
  • CDX IG: -0.83 to 61.78
  • CDX HY: -2.56 to 324.66
  • CDX EM: -3.40 to 190.85

*CDX levels are as of 3:30PM ET today.

-Tony Farren

 

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

 

IG Corporate New Issuance This Week
5/15-5/19
vs. Current
WTD – $13.50b
May 2017
Forecasts
vs. Current
MTD – $86.138b
Low-End Avg. $28.69b 47.05% $122.27b 70.45%
Midpoint Avg. $29.73b 45.41% $123.42b 69.79%
High-End Avg. $30.77b 43.87% $124.56b 69.15%
The Low $20b 67.50% $100b 86.138%
The High $40b 33.75% $150b 57.43%

 

Answering Another Call of Duty: Southern Company’s Commitment to the Military – Pride. Duty. Honor. Discipline.

Southern Company knows that veterans are the foundation of military service and of the utility Company. After they have served their nation, Southern Company seeks and encourages veterans to turn their military training into an opportunity to serve its 4.5 million customers.

Veterans are a natural fit for Southern Company because the cultures of the military and the utility industry are very similar – both exemplify dedication, commitment to safety, teamwork and excellence in all they do. This is why many veterans who have joined Southern Company are not just participants, but leaders, in the company.

Veterans currently account for 10% of Southern Company’s employees. The company’s military recruitment and development efforts have earned Southern Company a designation as the highest-ranked utility on G.I. Jobs’ Top 100 Military Friend Employers list for six consecutive years. The company has also been recognized as a Top 10 Company for Veterans by DiversityInc., a Most Valuable Employer by CivilianJobs and a Best for Vets Employer by Military Times EDGE.

Additionally, Southern Company is a founding partner of Troops to Energy Jobs program, supports the Joining Forces initiative, participates annually in more than 30 military recruitment events and partners with military transition centers across the country. Today, Southern Company and its subsidiaries including Gulf Power co. are the only electric utilities in the nation to partner with the U.S. Army, U.S. Navy, U.S. Marine Corps and U.S. Air Force to develop innovative energy projects both on and off base.

Navy Veteran Helps Recruit Top Veteran Talent

jamal-jessie southern co

Jamal Jessie

Veteran and Southern Company military recruiter Jamal Jessie says he views the U.S. Military as the best military in the world, so when he transitioned from a 20-year career with the U.S. Navy to civilian life in 2015, it only made sense to work for one of the best companies for veterans.

It was Southern Company’s ranking among GI Jobs Top 100 Military Friendly Employers that led Jamal there.

As Jamal tells it, “As a recruiter for the Navy, my scope of responsibility was vast. The leadership opportunities and the opportunity to build relationships set me up for success not only in the Navy but also now at Southern Company. I connected with and built relationships with people within the Navy and in the community, and that’s similar to what I do now – meeting with people on bases to attract top talent for Southern Company.”

May is National Military Appreciation Month, and citizens nationwide are encouraged to celebrate those who have served our country or are serving our country. Because the military and our industry’s cultures are similar – exemplifying dedication, commitment to safety, teamwork and excellence – we actively recruit military personnel who are transitioning out of service.  In fact, veterans account for 10 percent of our company’s 32,000 employees.

Without knowing it, Jamal had been preparing for his recruiting position for years. He joined the Navy after graduating from high school. Jamal spent his first 10 years in communications and was deployed at-sea four times. He then went on to serve as a full-time recruiter for 10 more years until he retired in 2014.

“Veterans play a huge part in our safety and in our lives, every day,” Jamal says, “and Southern Company gives us the opportunity to do the same thing here.”

When it comes to recruiting, Jamal says, “We are looking for the best of the best.” He partners with our operating companies and business units, developing strategies to recruit talent for specific positions. He travels to military bases where he fosters relationships and talks to military personnel who are transitioning from military to civilian working life to find that talent.

“We speak the same language, we have trust,” he says. “Southern Company values the veteran. We understand the teamwork and the training that veterans bring to our organization. The skills match is a huge advantage for both veterans and Southern Company.”

A Reiteration of Mischler’s 2017 Memorial Day Month Pledge.

Consistent with Mischler Financial Group’s annual initiative to commemorate Memorial Day and honor those who made the ultimate sacrifice while serving in our US military, this year we have dedicated a percentage of the month’s commission revenue to two organizations that are near and dear to our hearts and minds.

As we have done in prior Memorial Day and Veterans Day observances, Mischler is pleased to continue our support of Army Ranger Lead The Way Fund, the non-profit dedicated to raising funds to support disabled U.S. Army Rangers and the families of Rangers who have died, have been injured, or are currently serving in harm’s way.

As part of our May 2017 profit pledge, Mischler is equally proud to support the American Cancer Society via our sponsorship of the ACS 12th Annual Financial Services Cares Gala, which will be held June 22 at the New York Hilton Hotel. This year’s gala, which is expected to raise more than $1 million, will pay tribute to former KPMG Chairman & CEO Eugene O’Kelly, who passed away from cancer in 2005 and whose estate remains an ardent supporter of ACS cancer research grants.

Each of us here at Mischler, whether personally, through family members and/or friends and acquaintances, are all-too-familiar with the cancer’s devastating impact. Our support of the ACS is a testament to the crucial work it performs via research grants and assistance to patients undergoing treatment and their caregivers.

As the month of May pledge kicks off, thank you in advance to our sales/trading desk counterparties across the investment management industry and to the many Fortune 500 treasury teams we work with, for your ongoing support of our mission.

 

Dean A. Chamberlain (SDV)

Chief Executive Officer

Mischler Financial Group, Inc.

Southern Company and Mischler Financial truly is a formidable partnership not only when it comes to our day jobs in placing a new issue but also in our shared ethos of giving back opportunities to our military men and women in uniform – those willing to make the ultimate sacrifice.

Below please find my synopsis of everything Syndicate and Secondary from today’s debt capital markets, including the investment grade corporate bond data drill down as seen from my seat here in Syndicate, Sales and DCM.

Have a great evening!
Ron Quigley

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Muni Bond Inflows Increase; Risk On Re Intermediate Maturities-Mischler Comment
May 2017      Muni Market   

Mischler Muni-bond Market Outlook for the week commencing 05.15.17 looks back to last week’s metrics and provides a lens focused on pending municipal bond offerings scheduled for the upcoming week.  Muni bond inflows increased last week, supported by a risk-on view toward intermediate maturities within the municipal debt market. As always, the Mischler Muni Market Outlook provides public finance investment managers, institutional investors focused on municipal debt and municipal bond market participants a summary of prior week’s municipal debt activity, including credit spreads and money flows, and a curated view of pending municipal finance offerings scheduled for this week’s issuance.

Last week muni volume was about $8.9billion. This week volume is expected to be $8.8 billion. The negotiated market is led by $1.08 billion for Los Angeles Unified School District, California. The competitive market is led by $231.6million for the City of Phoenix Civic Improvement Corp, Arizona on Tuesday.

Below and attached is neither a recommendation or offer to purchase or sell securities. Mischler Financial Group is not a Municipal Advisor. For additional information, please contact Managing Director Richard Tilghman at 203.276.6656

For reading ease, please click on image below

municipal-bond-offering-week-051517To illustrate our presence within the Debt Capital Markets space: since 2014 alone,  Mischler has led, co-managed and/or served as selling group member for more than $600 Billion (notional value) in new debt and preferred shares issued by Fortune corporations, as well as debt issued by various municipalities and US Government agencies.

Mischler Financial Group is a federally-certified Service-Disabled Veteran Owned Business Enterprise (SDVOBE) and a recognized minority broker-dealer. Mischler Muni Market updates are provided as a courtesy to institutional clients of Mischler Financial Group, Inc.

This document may be not reproduced in any manner without the permission of Mischler Financial Group. Although the statements of fact have been obtained from and are based upon sources Mischler Financial Group believes reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete.  All opinions and estimates included in this report are subject to change without notice.  This report is for informational purposes and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security.   Veteran-owned broker-dealer Mischler Financial Group, its affiliates and their respective officers, directors, partners and employees, including persons involved in the preparation of this report, may from time to time maintain a long or short position in, or purchase or sell a position in, hold or act as market-makers or advisors or brokers in relation to the securities (or related securities, financial products, options, warrants, rights, or derivatives), of companies mentioned in this report or be represented on the board of such companies. Neither Mischler Financial Group nor any officer or employee of Mischler Financial Group or any affiliate thereof accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect or consequential damages or losses arising from any use of this report or its contents.

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Investment Grade Debt Commentary–Credit Tightening, Investor Appetite Voracious
May 2017      Debt Market Commentary   

Quigley’s Corner 05.12.17 – Credit Tightening, Investor Appetite Voracious

 

Investment Grade New Issue Re-Cap

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

The Best and the Brightest” FI Syndicate Forecasts and Sound Bites for Next Week 

NICs, Bid-to-Covers, Tenors, Sizes and Average Spread Compression from IPTs thru Launches

This Week’s IG New Issues and Where They’re Trading

Indexes and New Issue Volume

Lipper Report/Fund Flows – Week ending May 10th         

IG Credit Spreads by Rating

IG Credit Spreads by Industry

New Issue Pipeline

M&A Pipeline

Economic Data Releases

 

What to do on a no-print Friday in the IG dollar DCM?  Well, how about speaking with the top 24 syndicate desks who underwrite over 80% of all debt issued in our market for starters?  I did just that as is done here in the “QC” each and every Friday.  Next week looks like a very robust one with sizeable upside potential. One syndicate guru noted we could see $40b next week and $150b for the month.  What your corner seer can tell you is that I wrote the following here in the “QC” on Friday April 28th, 2017:

“It’s a weary world folks! However, the good news is that U.S. Corporations are an anomaly. They’re doing just fine and foreign investment into the safe haven of” yieldier” investment grade rated products is immense and growing.  I expect a very robust May of $150-ish of all-in (IG Corporate plus SSA issuance).  Credit is grinding tighter and ……investor appetite is voracious……especially coming off such a noticeably slow April that ended on a high note. So, issuers line up!  Bankers man your stations and syndicate managers get ready because the best story in our world is Corporate America.”

The IG Corporate-only total for May is currently $72.638b and the all-in Corporate plus SSA total is $80.083b.  We have two solid weeks to go in May and if we repeat what we’ve done thus far – along with next week’s upside potential – I do think we hit $150b.  Now wouldn’t that be something…..AGAIN! But why listen to little ‘ole me when all those prestigious professionals manning their respective syndicate desks at the world’s biggest investment banks are patiently waiting for you to run through my recaps and move on to their numbers and thoughts for next week’s IG corporate issuance? They’re all there.  Hurry up and get to it because it’s Friday and people have places to go and people to see.

Below please find my synopsis of everything Syndicate and Secondary from today’s debt capital markets, including the investment grade corporate bond data drill down as seen from my seat here in Syndicate, Sales and DCM.

Ron Quigley, Managing Director and Head of Fixed Income Syndicate

 

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

 

  • BAML’s IG Master Index tightened 1 bp to +118 vs. +119.  +106 represents the post-Crisis low dating back to July 2007.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS tightened 1 bp to 1.12 versus 1.13.
  • Standard & Poor’s Investment Grade Composite Spread was unchanged at +161.  The +140 reached on July 30th 2014 represents the post-Crisis low.
  • Investment grade corporate bond trading posted a final Trace count of $17.9b on Thursday versus $19.8b on Wednesday and $17b the previous Thursday.
  • The 10-DMA stands at $16.9b.

 

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

 

IG Corporate New Issuance This Week
5/08-5/12
vs. Current
WTD – $33.67b
May 2017
Forecasts
vs. Current
MTD – $72.638b
Low-End Avg. $30.54b 110.25% $122.27b 59.41%
Midpoint Avg. $31.37b 107.33% $123.42b 58.85%
High-End Avg. $32.21b 104.53% $124.56b 58.32%
The Low $25b 134.68% $100b 72.63%
The High $41b 82.12% $150b 48.43%

 

The Best and the Brightest”  Syndicate Forecasts and Sound Bites for Next Week 

I am happy to announce that the “QC” once again received 100% unanimous participation from all 24 syndicate desks surveyed for today’s “Best & Brightest” edition!  19 of those participants are among 2017’s YTD top 20 ranked syndicate desks according to today’s Bloomberg’s U.S. IG U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond underwriting league table.  22 are in the top 25 of that same table. The 2017 League table can be found on your terminals at “LEAG” + [GO] after which you select (US Investment Grade Corporates).  The participating desks represent 81.91% of all IG dollar-denominated new issue underwriting as of today’s table share percentage which simply means they’re the ones with visibility.  But it’s not only about their volume forecasts, it’s also about their comments!  This core syndicate group does it best; they know best; so they’re the ones you WANT and NEED to hear from.  It’s a great look at the week ahead.

*Please note that these are Investment Grade Corporates only. They do not include SSA issuance unless otherwise noted.

 As always “thank you” to all the syndicate desks that participated in today’s survey.  I greatly appreciate your time to contribute and for making this edition of the “QC” among the most widely read! You are helping to promote Mischler’s value-added DCM proposition while adding readership to the “QC” that won Wall Street Letter’s Award as Best Broker Dealer Research in our financial services industry for three consecutive years! That’s 2014, 2015 and 2016…

My weekly technical data re-cap and question posed to the “Best and the Brightest” early this morning was framed as follows:

 
Here are this week’s IG new issue volume talking points:

 

  • The IG Corporate WTD total is now over 10% above this week’s syndicate midpoint average forecast or $33.67b vs. $31.37b.
  • MTD we’ve priced more than 58% of the syndicate projection for May or $72.63b vs. $123.42b.
  • The all-in MTD total (IG Corporates plus SSA) currently stands at $80.038b.
  • This week we breached the half trillion dollar mark for YTD IG Corporate-only issuance.
  • The YTD IG Corporate only volume is now $515.42b which is 7.22% more than a year ago to date.
  • YTD we priced $687.656b of all-in IG Corporate and SSA issuance which is 2.84% more than last year’s total at this point.

Here are this week’s five key primary market driver averages from the 42 IG Corporate-only deals that priced: 

o   NICS:  <0.20> bps

o   Oversubscription Rates: 2.72x

o   Tenors:  8.66 years

o   Tranche Sizes: $802mm

o   Spread Compression from IPTs to the Launch: <19.51> bps


Here’s how this week’s performance data compares against last week’s: 

  • Average NICs widened 0.20 bps this week to <0.2). vs. <0.40>.
  • Over subscription or bid-to-cover rates, the measure of demand, decreased 1.07x to 2.72x vs. 3.79x. 
  • Average tenors dramatically contracted by 3.28 years to 8.66 years vs. 11.94 years.
  • Tranche sizes decreased by $16mm to $802mm vs. $818mm.
  • Spread compression from IPTs to the launch/final pricing of this week’s 42 IG Corporate-only new issues tightened <1.87> bps to <19.51> bps vs. <17.64> bps.
  • Standard and Poor’s Investment Grade Composite Spreads tightened 1 bp to +161 vs. +162.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS thru this morning tightened 3 bps to 1.12 vs. 1.15. 
  • Week-on-week, BAML’s IG Master Index tightened by 3 bps to +118 vs. +121. 
  • Spreads across the four IG asset classes tightened 3.00 bps to 12.25 vs. 15.25 bps as measured against their post-Crisis lows. 
  • The 19 major industry sectors also tightened by 2.53 bps to 16.79 bps vs. 19.32 bps against their post-Crisis lows.
  • For the week ended May 10th, Lipper U.S. Fund Flows reported an inflow of $2.701b into Corporate Investment Grade Funds (2017 YTD net inflow of $51.877b) and a net outflow of $1.725m from High Yield Funds (2017 YTD net outflow of $6.091b).
  • Taking a look at the secondary trading performance of this week’s IG and SSA new issues, of the 46 deals that printed, 34 tightened versus NIP for a 74.00% improvement rate while 8 widened (17.50%) and 4 were flat (8.50%).

Entering today’s Friday’s session here’s how much we issued this week:

  • IG Corps: $33.67b
  • All-in IG (Corps + SSA): $39.42b

 

We’re in the midst of a Trump Slump. Former-FBI Chief Comey was fired by Trump despite the ongoing “From Russia With Love” investigation.  Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov is then invited into the Oval Office the next day while U.S. press is barred from the room. (Who will be sweeping the office for bugs and other devices?) You can’t make this stuff up folks.  There is a 100% chance of a June rate hike. North Korea continues to threaten its sixth nuclear test.  The French election is now behind us, but the new young President of Gaul has his hands full while Le Pen rebuilds, renames and rebrands her National Front Party with an eye on 2022.  The best story going, however, continues to be very strong U.S. corporate earnings as IG credit spreads grind tighter and tighter offering issuers great opportunities to print NOW!
 

The “Best and the Brightest” in Their Own Words

 

……..……and here are their formidable responses:

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Primary Debt Capital Markets-$10.5b Raised by 8 IG Issuers-Mischler Comment
May 2017      Debt Market Commentary   

Quigley’s Corner 05.09.17 – Costco, Capital One, BNY & Entergy Arkansas Among 8 Issuers That Tap Day’s Primary Debt Capital Markets

 

Investment Grade New Issue Re-Cap

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

Global Market Recap

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

Entergy Arkansas Establishes a New Curve

The ETR Deal Dashboard
NICs, Bid-to-Covers, Tenors, Sizes and Average Spread Compression from IPTs thru Launches

New Issues Priced

Indexes and New Issue Volume

Lipper Report/Fund Flows – Week ending May 3rd          

IG Credit Spreads by Rating

IG Credit Spreads by Industry

New Issue Pipeline

M&A Pipeline

Economic Data Releases

Rates Trading Lab

Tomorrow’s Calendar

 

8 IG Corporate issuers announced deals today pricing 14 tranches between them totaling $10.52b.  The day’s highest volume deals came from Costco’s 4-part, Capital One’s 3-part and BNY Mellon’s 2-part but today’s Deal-of-the-Day belongs to Entergy Arkansas’ $220mm tap of its outstanding 3.50% FMBs due 4/01/2026.  You know what that means!  If I’m writing about it, Mischler was on it to the tune of a 4% active Co-Manager role

 

  • The IG Corporate WTD total is now more than 74.00% of this week’s syndicate midpoint average forecast or $23.32b vs. $31.37b.
  • MTD we’ve now priced just over 50.00% of the IG Corporate mid-range syndicate projection for May or $62.288b vs. $123.42b.
  • There are now 7 IG Yankee and/or SSA new issues in the IG credit pipeline.
  • The all-in IG Corporate plus SSA MTD total is now $63.938b.

 

The session’s Deal of the Day belongs to Entergy Arkansas that executed a $220mm tap of its outstanding 3.50% First Mortgage Bonds due 4/01/2026 thru active joint leads Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, J.P. Morgan and Wells Fargo and passive joint lead Stephens.  Co-Managers on the transaction along with Mischler Financial, the nation’s oldest Service Disabled Veteran broker dealer were BNY Mellon and Williams Capital.

Before I take the deep dive into Entergy Arkansas’ relative value study and Diversity and Inclusion story, let’s first re-cap today’s IG Primary Markets and briefly review the Global Re-Cap.

 

Today’s IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

 

  • Sammons Financial Group Inc. upsized today’s 144a/REGS 10-year Senior Notes new issue to $500mm from $300mm at the launch and at the tightest side of guidance.
  • The average spread compression from IPTs and/or guidance thru the launch/final pricing of today’s 14 IG Corporate-only new issues was <19.57> bps.
  • BAML’s IG Master Index tightened 1 bp to +120 versus +121.  +106 represents the post-Crisis low dating back to July 2007.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS was unchanged at 1.15.
  • Standard & Poor’s Investment Grade Composite Spread tightened 1 bp to +162 versus +163.  The +140 reached on July 30th 2014 represents the post-Crisis low.
  • Investment grade corporate bond trading posted a final Trace count of $16.4b on Monday versus $13.7b on Friday and $16.2b the previous Friday.
  • The 10-DMA stands at $16.7b.

 

Global Market Recap

 

  • U.S. Treasuries – Supply is putting pressure on USTs Weak 3yr auction today.
  • Overseas Bonds – Down day for bonds in Japan & Europe. Supply was a factor.
  • Stocks – Mixed & little changed. S&P’s and NASDAQ traded at all-time highs.
  • Overseas Stocks – Japan red, China green, Hang Seng strong & Europe green.
  • Economic – JOLTS data was solid.
  • Overseas Economic – Weak earnings data in Japan and Europe was mixed.
  • Currencies – USD outperformed all of the Big 5.
  • Commodities – Crude oil, gold & silver back to their losing ways.
  • CDX IG: -0.25 to 62.06
  • CDX HY: +0.30 to 328.80
  • CDX EM: +0.51 to 198.59

*CDX levels are as of 3:30PM ET today.

-Tony Farren

 

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates This Week and May

 

IG Corporate New Issuance This Week
5/08-5/12
vs. Current
WTD – $23.32b
May 2017
Forecasts
vs. Current
MTD – $62.288b
Low-End Avg. $30.54b 73.36% $122.27b 50.94%
Midpoint Avg. $31.37b 74.34% $123.42b 50.47%
High-End Avg. $32.21b 72.40% $124.56b 50.01%
The Low $25b 93.28% $100b 62.288%
The High $41b 56.88% $150b 41.53%

 

Entergy Arkansas Establishes a New Curve with $220mm 3.50% tap due 4/01/2026 – The ETR Deal Dashboard
How Entergy Powers Life

Entergy does not merely stand alone in the way their wonderful Treasury/Funding Team evolves its new issuance for all of its subsidiaries and Holdco.  In terms of the power industry let’s take a look at how Entergy truly does live up to its corporate slogan when it says “We Power Life” –

  • Entergy employs nearly 13,000 people.
  • Entergy owns and operates power plants with approximately 30,000 megawatts of electric generating capacity, including nearly 9,000 megawatts of nuclear power.
  • Entergy delivers electricity to 2.9 million utility customers in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas.
  • Entergy supplies natural gas to approximately 199,000 customers in Baton Rouge and New Orleans.
  • The Entergy transmission system is comprised of approximately 15,700 circuit miles of transmission lines operated at 69 kV to 500 kV and approximately 1,500 substations. The transmission system spans portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri and Texas, covering 114,000 square miles.
  • Entergy is a Fortune 500 company with revenues of approximately $10.8 billion.
  • Entergy celebrated its 100th birthday in 2013.

 

It doesn’t stop at those impressive data points rather it continues in the wonderful ways Entergy supports our service member men and women who are willing to make the ultimate sacrifice for our great nation. Hopefully you all read in last evening’s ”QC” my CEO’s message about how Team Mischler will once again commemorate Memorial Day by honoring those willing to make the ultimate sacrifice in our U.S. military.  As the nation’s oldest Service Disabled Veteran broker dealer we take our Co-Manager roles seriously as well as our commitment to giving back to of our men and women in uniform.  We give 10% of what we make to heavily vetted service focused foundations and other causes.  We really do folks! It’s part of our shred ethos here at Team Mischler.  So, too does Entergy Corp, the Holdco and its myriad Opcos. Entergy realizes the sacrifice our men and women in uniform make and as a result, Entergy is committed top/down to creating and enforcing other leading initiatives specifically for the military.

Let’s take a look:

Entergy is a Military-Friendly Employer

Entergy’s business is only as good as its people, and at Entergy, they are fortunate to work with some of the best in the business. This includes employing thousands of veterans and those currently serving in the U.S. Armed Forces across its businesses. These dedicated, disciplined and skilled employees provide a diverse perspective that is a strategic advantage for Entergy’s business, and the Company implements programs and initiatives to promote an inclusive culture for them.

Entergy’s executive leadership team and representatives of its Veterans Employee Resource Group recently accepted the 2016 Pro Patria Award from the U.S. Department of Defense’s Employer Support of the Guard and Reserve.

Engagement
In 2015 Entergy organized a Veterans Employee Resource Group, an employee-led group coordinated across the company, to help achieve its mission to create sustainable value for its stakeholders — owners, customers, employees and the communities in which the utility operates — by capturing veteran-employee input on programs such as recruiting, on-boarding, retention, work/life balance and leadership development. 14% of Entergy employees are veterans of the U.S. Armed Forces! That’s good stuff readers! You see! It’s not just about the deal.  It’s a much broader and even more meaningful initiative at the Company!

Veteran Compensation and Reemployment
Serving your country should never come at the expense of job security. Entergy’s military leave and pay policies comply with all federal and state laws regarding the rights of uniformed service members, and its uniformed service members are also eligible for differential payments under Entergy’s Military Leave Policy. This pay supplements an employee’s military pay so that he/she does not suffer a loss in pay while engaged in military service. And those called away for duty can rest assured regarding their reemployment with Entergy following military leave. For service that does not exceed five years, these employees are eligible to be reemployed in either the position they were in prior to service, or a position they would have attained of like seniority, status and pay.

Recognition
In 2016, Entergy won the 2016 Pro Patria Award from the U.S. Department of Defense’s Employer Support of the Guard and Reserve for promoting supportive work environments for members of the National Guard and Reserve. And among 2,400 nominees, Entergy was also named one of the 30 finalists for the 2016 Secretary of Defense Employer Support Freedom Award, the highest recognition given by the Department of Defense’s Employer Support of the Guard and Reserve.

 

Below please find my synopsis of the Entergy Arkansas transaction, and everything Syndicate and Secondary from today’s debt capital markets, including the investment grade corporate bond data drill down as seen from my seat here in Syndicate, Sales and DCM.

Have a great evening!
Ron Quigley

 

Entergy Arkansas Establishes a New Curve with $220mm 3.50% tap due 4/01/2026 – The ETR Deal Dashboard

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Equities Market Commentary-A Goldilocks Market or a Teflon Market?; Peruzzi’s Perch
May 2017      Equities Market Commentary   

Peruzzi’s Perch Equities Market Commentary May 05 2017- VIX Messaging Goldilocks Market, Or a Teflon Market?

U.S markets close out a low volatility week with an important April jobs report on Friday. We seem to be in a Teflon market where both good and bad news alike just slide off the market. This either a Goldilocks market or a Teflon market.

larry-peruzzi-mischler-equitiies

Larry Peruzzi, Managing Director

The VIX index (good indication of volatility) hit a 10 year low on Monday at 10.11. In fact many have noted that the VIX trading curve looks very similar to 2007. In another indication of the low volatility the S&P 500 has not had a move of more than 20 bps over the last 7 sessions. Not that there has been a lack of new, quite the contrary between French elections, possible affordable health care plan overturned, North Korea, Apple hitting an all-time high, the Fed’s non actions and earnings investors have had plenty to digest. Q1 earning season is nearing an end with 78% of earnings reports beating forecast and 63% beating sales forecast. Wednesday the Fed decided not to raise rates and the statement was slightly more hawkish than we were expecting with the Fed suggesting it could still raise interest rates at its next meeting on June 14th.  Market expectations for a rate hike next month jumped to 75% from 60%, but much of this is contingent on a rebound in employment growth in April and May. Thursday was a great example of sector movements canceling each other out as financial stocks gained offsetting losses in telecom and energy shares as the price of crude oil fell below $45 a barrel. The question we all have is how long can this keep going?

Looking ahead to next week fist on the docket will be follow through to Friday’s job report and reaction both in Europe and the U.S to France’s presidential elections on Sunday. Polls indicate Emmanuel Macron has a 20 point lead on Marie LePen, but U.S and U.K voters are both well aware of how inaccurate polls can be lately. A Le Pen victory certainly would create some volatility, while Macron would be viewed as more of a status quo.

Cheap oil is coming back, with WTI crude at its lowest level in 13 months. We could see some continued pressure in the energy sector next week.  Keep an eye on Venezuela, a country that is nearly 100% dependent on oil revenue. Crude’s 2-year slide, as well as disastrous political decisions, has the country on the verge of collapse. This week’s EIA number added further importance. Japan will also return to work after three days of holidays.

Economic data is back loaded next week, with April PPI reading and jobless claims on Thursday and April CPI, April retail sales, Business inventories and Michigan sentiment closing out the week on Friday. Fed wise governors Bullard, Mester, Kashkari, Rosengren, Dudley, Evans, and Harker, all give speeches, but make no mistake about it; The Fed is looking at just 2 things: Jobs and inflation. Recently, both of those have not shown to be either hawkish or dovish. Washington will not be lacking any drama as the Senate GOP looks ready to overlook the House Obamacare repeal bill and write its own. If they find sometime a budget is needed to avoid another government shutdown later this year.  So call it a Goldilocks market or a Teflon market but until volatility returns brokers will continue to see low trading volumes. This will certainly result in lower earnings for the brokers in Q2.

 

Larry Peruzzi

Managing Director International Trading

Mischler Financial Group

Investment Banking | Institutional Brokerage

Larry Peruzzi is a 20 yr global trading markets veteran and brings a unique perspective to global equities market commentary via Mischler Financial Group, the securities industry’s oldest minority broker-dealer owned and operated by service-disabled veterans.  Larry’s experience  and best execution perspective stems from his sitting on ‘both sides of the aisle.’  For more than half of Larry’s career, he ran buy-side trading desks for Standish Mellon and thereafter, The Boston Company. In both of those roles, Larry was responsible for implementing and managing international equities trade execution. Larry’s perspectives are frequently cited by the leading financial news publishers, including The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg LP and Reuters

Mischler End of Week Equities Market Commentary via Peruzzi’s Perch March 09 2017 end-of-week edition is distributed via email to institutional investment managers and Fortune Treasury clients of veteran-owned broker-dealer Mischler Financial Group, the investment industry’s oldest  minority broker-dealer owned and operated by Service-Disabled Veterans.

Peruzzi’s Perch is a weekly synopsis of Everything Equities as seen from the perch of Mischler Financial Group’s International Equities Desk. Cited by Wall Street Letter in each of 2014, 2015 and 2016 for “Best Research / Broker-Dealer”, Peruzzi’s Perch is one of four distinctive content pieces produced by Mischler Financial Group (more…)

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