Browsing articles tagged with "mischler financial group Archives - Page 2 of 3 - Mischler Financial Group"
Mischler Muni Market Outlook Week of 11-21-16
November 2016      Muni Market   

Muni Market Outlook for Thanksgiving Holiday-shortened week via Mischler Financial Group Public Finance Desk

Mischler Municipal Debt Market Update for the week commencing 11.21.16 looks back to last week’s metrics and provides a lens focused on selected municipal bond offerings for this week. As always, the Mischler Muni Market snapshot provides public finance investment managers, institutional investors focused on municipal debt and municipal bond market participants a summary of prior week’s muni bond activity, including credit spreads, money flows and a curated view of pending municipal finance offerings scheduled for this week’s pending issuance.

Last week muni volume was about $6.0 billion, compared to a projected $11.5 billion as lots of deals were postponed and scheduled day-to-day.  There is almost $4.0 billion on The Bond Buyer’s day-to-day calendar.  This holiday shortened week volume is expected to be $1.0 billion.  The negotiated market is led by $173.5 million for The Metropolitan District, Hartford County, Connecticut.  The competitive market does not have any sales over $100.0 million

Below and attached is neither a recommendation or offer to purchase or sell securities. Mischler Financial Group is not a Municipal Advisor. For additional information, please contact Managing Director Richard Tilghman at 203.276.6656mischler-muni-market-outlook-112116

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mischler Financial Group debt capital market expertise, inclusive of Debt Origination, Distribution, Primary Market Access and Secondary Market trading across the full spectrum of fixed income markets is courtesy of our 18-member team of debt market veterans is what makes MFG’s Fixed Income Group a compelling partner to Fortune issuers, corporate treasurers, municipal debt issuers and the world’s leading institutional investors.

To illustrate our presence within the Debt Capital Markets space: since 2014 alone,  Mischler has led, co-managed and/or served as selling group member for more than $500 Billion (notional value) in new debt and preferred shares issued by Fortune corporations, new companies via IPO, as well as debt issued by various municipalities and US Government agencies.

Mischler Financial Group is a federally-certified Service-Disabled Veteran Owned Business Enterprise (SDVOBE) and a recognized minority broker-dealer. Mischler Muni Market updates are provided as a courtesy to institutional clients of Mischler Financial Group, Inc.

Muni Market Outlook for Thanksgiving Holiday-shortened week via Mischler Financial Group Public Finance Desk

 

Mischler Boston Team Gives Back to Vets DAV 5k
November 2016      Giving Back   

November 12-2016–Mischler Financial Group’s Boston Office team, home to Mischler’s International Equities Group turned out in force to participate in the 2016 DAV 5K Boston Run to Honor Veterans, one of Boston’s leading Veterans Day fundraising programs.

The DAV 5K Run to Honor Veterans is a run, walk, roll and motorcycle ride that thanks those who served and raises awareness of the issues our ill and injured veterans face every day. The DAV 5K National Series is presented by DAV (Disabled American Veterans), a nonprofit organization that helps more than 1 million veterans in life-changing ways each year.

“The events help further the mission of DAV to ensure our injured heroes are not alone on their road to recovery. When you participate in the DAV 5K and encourage others to support this event, you are investing in the lives of our wounded American heroes who have sacrificed for our freedoms.”

mischler-boston-2016-DAV-5K-fundraiser

(l) Mischler Managing Dir Larry Peruzzi, Guest Marybeth Forbes, Lauren Peruzzi; Right Side Image: (l) Chris Dorin (The Boston Company), Marybeth Forbes,Mischler sales/trader Jeanne Austin, Larry Peruzzi, Lauren Peruzzi

 

 

 

 

Mischler Muni Market Outlook 11-14-16; $1b Tobacco Settlement Bonds
November 2016      Muni Market   

Tobacco Settlement Bonds for TSASC $1bil issuance leads this weeks municipal bond market scheduled offerings.

Mischler Municipal Debt Market Update for the week commencing 11.14.16 looks back to last week’s metrics and provides a lens focused on selected municipal bond offerings for this week. As always, the Mischler Muni Market snapshot provides public finance investment managers, institutional investors focused on municipal debt and municipal bond market participants a summary of prior week’s muni bond activity, including credit spreads, money flows and a curated view of pending municipal finance offerings scheduled for this week’s pending issuance.

Last week, muni volume was about $1.7 billion.  This week volume is expected to be $11.5 billion.  The negotiated market is led by $1.0 billion Tobacco Settlement Bonds for TSASC, Inc., New York.  TSASC, Inc., (“TSASC”) is a special purpose, bankruptcy-remote, not-for-profit corporation authorized to issue bonds secured by Tobacco Settlement Revenues (“TSRs”) arising out of the Master Settlement Agreement (“MSA”). The MSA was entered into by 46 states, the District of Columbia, five U.S. Territories (the “Settling States”) and participating cigarette manufacturers.

The competitive market is led by $537.0 million for Washington Suburban Sanitary District, Maryland in 2 bids on Tuesday.  

Below and attached is neither a recommendation or offer to purchase or sell securities. Mischler Financial Group is not a Municipal Advisor. For additional information, please contact Managing Director Richard Tilghman at 203.276.6656

mischler-muni-market-outlook-11-14-2016

Mischler Financial Group debt capital market expertise, inclusive of Debt Origination, Distribution, Primary Market Access and Secondary Market trading across the full spectrum of fixed income markets is courtesy of our 18-member team of debt market veterans is what makes MFG’s Fixed Income Group a compelling partner to Fortune issuers, corporate treasurers, municipal debt issuers and the world’s leading institutional investors.

To illustrate our presence within the Debt Capital Markets space: since 2014 alone,  Mischler has led, co-managed and/or served as selling group member for more than $500 Billion (notional value) in new debt and preferred shares issued by Fortune corporations, new companies via IPO, as well as debt issued by various municipalities and US Government agencies.

Mischler Financial Group is a federally-certified Service-Disabled Veteran Owned Business Enterprise (SDVOBE) and a recognized minority broker-dealer. Mischler Muni Market updates are provided as a courtesy to institutional clients of Mischler Financial Group, Inc.

 

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Mischler Equities Market Week In Review-A Look to Election Day-11.04.16
November 2016      Equities Market Commentary   

Peruzzi’s Perch 11.04.16 – Equities Market Week In Review & Ahead: It’s All About The Presidential Election

larry-peruzzi-mischler-equitiiesThe complexion of the U.S markets changed dramatically this week when the FBI reopened the Clinton email investigation.  James Comey did what the Fed, earnings, oil and economic data was unable to do; his self-described “focus on full transparency” caused market volatility to spike, evident by the 42% rise in the VIX index. Make no mistake about it, this market is squarely being controlled by Tuesday U.S Presidential election. We did have numerous noteworthy items this week…

A decent October jobs report when looked at coupled with September’s +35K revision, gains in nonfarm productivity, some growth in ISM manufacturing, and dovish personal income and spending data. We also saw weakness in Oil with Wednesday’s U.S inventory and OPEC production data pushing WTI back below $44 a barrel and down 9% for the week. Bank of England voted 9-0 to keep rates unchanged and Egypt devalued and raised rates by 300 bps. Q3 earnings are wrapping up and looked decent overall.

All these items would normally be a bigger deal but all were relegated to the back seat with Mr. Comey’s actions dramatically tighten the Presidential race (Clinton 12 point lead down to 3 points). The coming election is solely in the driver’s seat. Residents of battleground states of New Hampshire, Ohio, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Florida, Colorado and Arizona can expect a large amount of political bombardment this weekend. The Presidency and control of the senate is at stake in these crucial 7 states. Mexico reportedly was making contingency plans in case of a Donald Trump victory.  It will be and interesting weekend to say the least. Markets saw a fair amount of hedging and speculative trading activity this week as investor’s distain for uncertainty grows. As of Friday U.S markets were battling in an attempt to break an 8 day losing streak. A 9th down day for the S&P 500 index would mark the longest losing streak in 36 years and European stocks hit oversold levels on Friday.

Looking ahead to next week, it will be the Election on Tuesday and the results analysis on Wednesday that will dictate our direction and short term future. Earnings highlights next week (only 31 S&P 500 names reporting) are Rockwell on Monday, DR Horton and CVS on Tuesday, Viacom on Wednesday and Macy’s, Nordstrom and Kohl’s on Thursday.  Biggest economic data point will be Friday’s University of Michigan sentiment data, and I expect it will be largely dismissed as the control of Congress and the White House will make next month’s sentiment data more meaningful. Fundamental analysts will be happy to get back to work latter in the week after macro and micro data points come back into focus.

Fed governors have been quiet lately, but their pointing to coming rate hikes have been heard as Fed Fund Implied Probability is pricing in a 74% chance of a December 14 rate hike of 25 bps. Chicago President Evans speaks on the Economy and Policy in NYC on Tuesday and I’d expect he minces his words carefully. Fed’s Williams speak on Wednesday, Bullard on Thursday and Fischer on Friday. We might see the gloves come off with some interesting and insightful comments coming out after the election. Although most of the country is experiencing mild temperatures, November does tell us colder weather is coming. So, as refiners switch over to heating oil, crude will be in focus next week.  Traders will be looking for production levels out of Saudi Arabia and Russia, refining capacity and any news from OPEC that might signal some strength for the commodity but resent production numbers points toward further weakness.

In a nutshell, markets will be looking at higher interest rates soon and a potential shift in power in Washington. Cash looks to be King until these story lines play out. Remember to vote but please only vote once so we can get this behind us.

Larry Peruzzi

Managing Director International Trading

Mischler Financial Group

Investment Banking | Institutional Brokerage

Ph:   1-617-420-8472

Larry Peruzzi is a 20 yr global trading markets veteran and brings to Mischler a unique background. His career experience  and best execution perspective stems from his sitting on ‘both sides of the aisle.’  For more than half of Larry’s career, he ran buy-side trading desks for Standish Mellon and thereafter, The Boston Company. In both of those roles, Larry was responsible for implementing and managing international equities trade execution. Larry’s perspectives are frequently cited by the leading financial news publishers, including The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg LP and Reuters. (more…)

Mischler Financial 2016 Annual Veterans Day Month Pledge: Three Philanthropic Missions
October 2016      Company News, Giving Back   

Mischler 2016 Annual Veterans Day Month Pledge Supports Three Special Philanthropies

 Industry’s oldest Minority Firm Owned  & Operated by Service-Disabled Vets Gives Back and Pays Forward

Stamford, CT & Newport Beach, CA –November 1, 2016 —Veterans Day is observed by Americans each year on November 11; the day that is dedicated to honoring and extending our gratitude to the millions of men and women who have served within the US military. At Mischler Financial Group (“Mischler”), the financial industry’s oldest institutional brokerage and investment bank owned and operated by service-disabled veterans, Veterans Day is observed every day, and each November Mischler pledges a percentage of the entire month’s profits to carefully-vetted charitable organizations that support veterans and their families in recognition of this national holiday.

To honor Veterans Day Month 2016, Mischler Financial Group has made a financial pledge to three separate organizations that go above and beyond the call of duty to support military veteran families and local communities. Those 501c3 organizations are Bob Woodruff Foundation, The Johnny Mac Soldiers Fund and Buildon.org.

Stated Dean Chamberlain, Chief Executive of Mischler Financial, a 20-year veteran of the securities industry and a U.S. Military Academy at West Point alumni, “There are now more than 20 million Americans who have served with integrity and honor in the US Armed Forces, yet when transitioning back to civilian roles, too many are encountering challenges as they seek higher ground. The Mischler Financial year-round philanthropic mission is dedicated to the military veteran community at large, and Veterans Day Month provides a special opportunity for our trading desk and our clients to work together to give back and pay forward to the veteran community in ways that can truly help change lives for the better.”

Added Chamberlain, “This past May, we made our Memorial Day Month pledge to crowdfund campaign Veterans Education Challenge,  as we believe that advanced education is a core component to both personal and professional success. The organizations that we have pledged our Veterans Day Month support to provide equally unique runways by which veterans can further bolster their knowledge base and self-confidence, and in turn, help them to more easily target and capture opportunities as they advance forward.”

bob-woodruff-foundation-veterans-day-mischler

About The Bob Woodruff Foundation (501c3)

Mission Statement: Founded in 2006 by ABC News reporter Bob Woodruff and his wife Lee after Bob was hit by a roadside bomb while covering the war in Iraq. The Bob Woodruff Foundation has led an enduring call to action for people to stand up for heroes and meet the emerging and long-term needs of today’s veterans. To date, BWF has invested more than $33 million to find, fund and shape programs that have empowered more than 2.5 million impacted veterans, service members and their families. To learn more, visit their website

 

johnny-mac-soldiers-fund-mischler-veterans-day-About The Johnny Mac Soldiers Fund (501c3)

Mission Statement: Committed to providing support to those most affected by the Global War on Terror. Assistance includes: College scholarships and grants; Financial aid for professional certification programs and non-degree programs; Educational career counseling and mentorship.  visit their website.

 


build-on-org-mischler-veterans-dayAbout Buildon.org (501c3)

Mission Statement: To break the cycle of poverty, illiteracy and low expectations through service learning programs in many of America’s most under-resourced high schools. Buildon.org is dedicated to engaging and training high school students in the country’s most challenging urban areas by providing those students with the tools to proactively advance programs that can better the quality of life for members of their communities who are in need. visit their website.

mischler-veterans-day-service-disabled-vets

 

About Mischler Financial Group Inc.

Established in 1994, Mischler Financial Group, Inc. (“Mischler”) was the first FINRA broker-dealer member that was also a federally-certified Service-Disabled-Veteran-Owned Business Enterprise (SDVOB). Since that time, Mischler has become widely-recognized by Fortune corporate treasurers, public pension sponsors and the industry’s leading institutional investment managers for “punching above its weight class” while serving as a boutique investment bank and conflict-free institutional brokerage. Mischler is unique among its peers for its capital markets capabilities, as well as the firm’s year-round advocacy and support of veteran-centric causes. Mischler maintains offices in 8 major cities and is staffed by more than 55 securities industry veterans whose expertise extends across virtually all primary and secondary debt and equity capital market silos. In addition to traditional DCM and ECM services and secondary market best execution, Mischler administers corporate share repurchase programs for leading Fortune companies, cash management for government entities and corporations, and asset management programs for liquid and alternative investment strategies. The firm’s website is www.mischlerfinancial.com

For Additional Information:

Attn: Office of the Chief Executive

Email: info@mischlerfinancial.com

Tel. 203.276.6646

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Investment Grade Corporate Debt Deal Dashboard-Mischler Comment
October 2016      Debt Market Commentary   

Quigley’s Corner 10.24.16 : Investment Grade Debt Deal of the Day.

 

Investment Grade New Issue Re-Cap 

Global Market Recap

IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

The BNY Mellon $1.25b 2-part Deal Dashboard

New Issues Priced

Indexes and New Issue Volume

Lipper Report/Fund Flows – Week ending October 19th  

Investment Grade Credit Spreads (by Rating/Industry)

New Issue Pipeline

M&A Pipeline

Economic Data Releases

Rates Trading Lab

Tomorrow’s Calendar

 

 5 IG Corporate issuers priced 10 tranches between them totaling $9.85b for a strong start to what could be a sizeable week.  We have already achieved 38% of the syndicate midpoint average forecast for this week which is $25.48b.  Last year was the highest volume October on record at $124.131b for all-in IG issuance. That’s including IG Corporates and SSA and according to my calculations.  That puts us a mere $2.337b away from a new October record.

 

Today’s Deal-of-the-day belongs to none other than Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (NYSE:BNY) in view of the $1.25b two-part consisting of $750mm 7NC6 Senior FRNs and $500mm 12yr Fixed Subordinated Notes.   But first let’s check the Global Re-cap, our IG Primary and Secondary Market Talking Points and take a look at where we stand in relation to this week’s and month’s IG volume.  Then we’ll get into the BNY Mellon deal drill-down, etcetera!

 

Global Market Recap

 

o   U.S. Treasuries – Down day for USTs led by the 5yr.

o   Overseas Bonds – Europe traded poorly during NY hours. JGB’s were little changed.

o   3mth Libor – Set at the highest yield since May, 2009 (0.88372%).

o   Stocks – U.S. stocks well bid at 3:15pm. Europe more green than red. Asia rallied.

o   Economic – Solid to stronger Markit PMI data in the U.S., EU & Germany.

o   Japan Economic – Exports/imports were better than expected/last but remained terrible.

o   Currencies – USD outperformed all of the Big 5. The Yen is back over 104.

o   Commodities – Losing day for commodities to start the week

o   CDX IG: +0.01 to 73.81

o   CDX HY: -0.14 to 397.91

o   CDX EM: -1.13 to 231.09

*CDX levels are as of 3:30PM ET today.

-Tony Farren

 

IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points

 

  • Honeywell International Inc. dropped the 5yr FRN tranche from today’s $4.5b 4-part transaction finding sufficient 5yr demand in the fixed tranche.  All 4 tranches priced at the tightest side of guidance.
  • The average spread compression from IPTs thru the launch/final pricing of today’s 11 IG Corporate-only new issues was 15.14 bps.
  • BAML’s IG Master Index was unchanged at +135.  +106 represents the post-Crisis low dating back to July 2007.
  • Bloomberg/Barclays US IG Corporate Bond Index OAS widened 1 bp to +130 vs. +129.  The “LUACOAS” wide since 2012 is +215. The tight is +135.
  • Standard & Poor’s Global Fixed Income Research was unchanged at +181.  The +140 reached on July 30th 2014 represents the post-Crisis low.
  • Investment grade corporate bond trading posted a final Trace count of $12b on Friday versus $16.5b Thursday and $11.7b the previous Friday.
  • The 10-DMA stands at $13.9b.

 

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates for This Week and October

 

IG Corporate New Issuance This Week
10/24-10/28
vs. Current
WTD – $9.85b
October 2016 vs. Current
MTD – $78.445b
Low-End Avg. $24.61b 40.02% $87.83b 89.31%
Midpoint Avg. $25.48b 38.66% $88.59b 88.55%
High-End Avg. $26.35b 37.38% $89.35b 87.80%
The Low $15b 65.67% $75b 104.59%
The High $35b 28.14% $125b 62.76%

 

The BNY Mellon $1.25b 2-part Deal Dashboard

 

BNY Issue IPTs GUIDANCE LAUNCH PRICED Spread
Compression
Comparable Bid
Pre-Announcement
NICs
(bps)
Trading at
the Break
+/-
(bps)
7NC6 FRN 3mL+115a 3mL+105 # 3mL+105 3mL+105 <10> JPM 7NC6 10/2023 3mL+120
20bps diff. BK & JPM = 3mL+100
+5 3mL+103/ <2>
12yr FXD +145a +130a (+/-5) +125 +125 <20> BK 2.45% 8/2026 G+88
15 bps 10s/12s curve = +103
+25 Sr/Sub diff. = +128
<3> 120/118 <5>

 

………and here’s a look at final book sizes and oversubscription rates:

 

BNY Issue Tranche Size Final Book
Size
Bid-to-Cover
Rate
7NC6 FRN $750mm $1.85b 2.47x
12yr FXD $500mm $2.85b 5.7x

 

BNY Mellon Final Pricing
BNY $750mm 7NC6 Senior FRNs due 10/30/2023 @$100.00 or 3mL+105
BNY $500mm 3.00% Sub Notes due 10/30/2028 @ $99.980 to yield 3.011% or T+125

 

Thank Yous

 

Thank you to BNY Mellon’s Frank Vasta, Ryan MacGregor and Karl Schultz for the opportunity to demonstrate Mischler’s capital markets capabilities.  We appreciate the Treasury/Funding team’s strong emphasis on developing relationships with a diverse financial supplier network that includes Mischler Financial, the nation’s oldest SDVBE. BNY Mellon’s diversity and inclusion network is a successful one thanks to the active leadership of its Global Diversity & Inclusion Council comprised of 40 of the institution’s most senior executives and chaired by BNY Mellon’s President Karen Peetz.

 

Below please find my synopsis of everything Syndicate and Secondary from today’s debt capital markets, including the investment grade corporate bond data drill down as seen from my seat here in Syndicate, Sales and DCM.

 

Have a great evening!
Ron Quigley, Managing Director and Head of Fixed Income Syndicate

 

NICs, Bid-to-Covers, Tenors and Sizes

 

…..and here’s another look at last week’s day-by-day re-cap of key primary market driver averages for IG Corporates only followed by the prior four week’s averages:

KEY IG CORPORATE
NEW ISSUE DRIVERS
MON.
10/17
TUES.
10/18
WED.
10/19
TH.
10/20
FRI.
10/21
THIS WEEK’S
AVERAGES
AVERAGES
WEEK 10/10
AVERAGES
WEEK 10/03
AVERAGES
WEEK 9/26
New Issue Concessions 6.62 bps 3.17 bps 1.71 2 bps N/A 3.31 bps 1.87 bps 4.36 bps 2.71 bps
Oversubscription Rates 2.11x 2.91x 2.86x 5.31x N/A 3.05x 3.28x 4.20x 3.52x
Tenors 6.06 yrs 10.71 yrs 12 yrs 6.25 yrs 3 yrs 9.16 yrs 11.51 yrs 12.16 yrs 10.51 yrs
Tranche Sizes $1,043mm $1,050mm $1,249mm $1,225mm 300mm $1,137mm $640mm $523mm $646mm

 

New Issues Priced

Today’s recap of visitors to our IG dollar Corporate and SSA DCM:

For ratings I use the better two of Moody’s, S&P or Fitch.

IG

Issuer Ratings Coupon Maturity Size IPTs GUIDANCE LAUNCH PRICED LEADS
Bank of NY Mellon Corp. A1/AA- FRN 10/30/2023 750 3mL+115a 3mL+105 the # 3mL+105 3mL+105 BARC/BNY/DB/MS/UBS
Bank of NY Mellon Corp. A2/A+ 3.00% 10/30/2028 500 +145a +130a (+/-5) +125 +125 BARC/BNY/DB/MS/UBS
Charles Schwab Corp. Baa2/BBB 4.625% PerpNC5 600 4.875%a 4.625% the # 4.625% 3mL+331.5

 

CITI/CS/GS/JPM/WFS
Honeywell International A2/A FRN 10/30/2019 250 3mL+equiv 3mL+equiv 3mL+28 3mL+28 DB/JPM/MS/WFS
Honeywell International A2/A 1.40% 10/30/2019 1,250 +55-60 +45a (+/-2) +43 +43 DB/JPM/MS/WFS
Honeywell International A2/A 1.85% 11/01/2021 1,500 +70-75 +60a (+/-2) +58 +58 DB/JPM/MS/WFS
Honeywell International A2/A 2.50% 11/01/2026 1,500 +90-95 +80a (+/-2) +78 +78 DB/JPM/MS/WFS
Roche Holdings Inc. AA/AA 1.75% 1/28/2022 650 +70a +57a (+/-2) +55 +55 BARC/CITI/SANT
Roche Holdings Inc. AA/AA 2.375% 1/28/2027 850 +90a +75a (+/-2) +73 +73 BARC/CITI/SANT
Wells Fargo & Co. A2/AA- FRN 10/31/2023 2,000 3mL+130a 3mL+123 the # 3mL+123 3mL+123 WFS-sole

 

Indexes and New Issue Volume

 

Index Open Current Change  
LUACOAS 1.30 1.30 0  
IG27 73.799 73.767 <0.32>
HV27 161.195 161.385 +0.19
VIX 13.34 13.02 <0.32>  
S&P 2,141 2,151 10
DOW 18,145 18,223 78  
 

USD

 

IG Corporates

 

USD

 

Total IG (+ SSA)

DAY: $9.85 bn DAY: $9.85 bn
WTD: $9.85 bn WTD: $9.85 bn
MTD: $78.445 bn MTD: $121.795 bn
YTD: $1,153.181 bn YTD: $1,477.015 bn

 

Lipper Report/Fund Flows – Week ending October 19th  

     

  • For the week ended October 19th, Lipper U.S. Fund Flows reported an inflow of $2.431b into Corporate Investment Grade Funds (2016 YTD net inflow of $41.086b) and a net outflow of $160m from High Yield Funds (2016 YTD net inflow of $11.119b).
  • Over the same period, Lipper reported a net inflow of $514.8m into Loan Participation Funds (2016 YTD net outflow of $1.956b).
  • Emerging Market debt funds reported a net inflow of $621.7m (2016 YTD inflow of $7.333b).

(more…)

Mischler Municipal Debt Outlook Week of Oct 11
October 2016      Muni Market   

Mischler Municipal Debt Market Update for the holiday-shortened week commencing 10.11.16 looks back to last week’s metrics and provides a lens focused on selected municipal bond offerings for this week. As always, the Mischler Muni Market snapshot provides public finance investment managers, institutional investors focused on municipal debt and municipal bond market participants a summary of prior week’s muni bond activity, including credit spreads, money flows and a curated view of pending municipal finance offerings scheduled for this week’s pending issuance.

The negotiated market is led by $1.3 billion general obligation bonds for the State of Illinois.  The competitive market is led by $138.0 million revenue bonds for Campbell County Sanitation District, Arizona on Wednesday.

Below and attached is neither a recommendation or offer to purchase or sell securities. Mischler Financial Group is not a Municipal Advisor. For additional information, please contact Managing Director Richard Tilghman at 203.276.6656

For reading ease, please click on image below

mischler-municipal-debt-market-outlook-10112016

Mischler Financial Group debt capital market expertise, inclusive of Debt Origination, Distribution, Primary Market Access and Secondary Market trading across the full spectrum of fixed income markets is courtesy of our 18-member team of debt market veterans is what makes MFG’s Fixed Income Group a compelling partner to Fortune issuers, corporate treasurers, municipal debt issuers and the world’s leading institutional investors.

To illustrate our presence within the Debt Capital Markets space: since 2014 alone,  Mischler has led, co-managed and/or served as selling group member for more than $500 Billion (notional value) in new debt and preferred shares issued by Fortune corporations, new companies via IPO, as well as debt issued by various municipalities and US Government agencies.

Mischler Financial Group is a federally-certified Service-Disabled Veteran Owned Business Enterprise (SDVOBE) and a recognized minority broker-dealer. Mischler Muni Market updates are provided as a courtesy to institutional clients of Mischler Financial Group, Inc.

Post title: Mischler Municipal Debt Outlook Week of Oct 11

Mischler Muni Market : Select Offerings Scheduled Week of Sept 19
September 2016      Muni Market   

Mischler Muni Market Update for week commencing 09.19.16 looks back to last week’s metrics and provides a lens focused on selected municipal bond offerings for this week. As always, the Mischler Muni Market snapshot provides public finance investment managers, institutional investors focused on municipal debt and municipal bond market participants a summary of prior week’s muni bond activity, including credit spreads, money flows and a curated view of pending municipal finance offerings scheduled for this week’s pending issuance.

The negotiated market is led by $700.0 million taxable bonds for Providence St. Joseph Health Obligated Group and $649.9 million tax-exempt and taxable bonds for Pennsylvania Turnpike
Commission. The competitive market is led by $1.1 billion bonds for Dormitory Authority of the State of New York in 3 bids on Thursday.

Below and attached is neither a recommendation or offer to purchase or sell securities. Mischler Financial Group is not a Municipal Advisor. For additional information, please contact Managing Director Richard Tilghman at 203.276.6656

For reading ease, please click on image below

mischler muni market update

Mischler Financial Group debt capital market expertise, inclusive of Debt Origination, Distribution, Primary Market Access and Secondary Market trading across the full spectrum of fixed income markets is courtesy of our 18-member team of debt market veterans is what makes MFG’s Fixed Income Group a compelling partner to Fortune issuers, corporate treasurers and the world’s leading institutional investors.

To illustrate our presence within the Debt Capital Markets space: since 2014 alone,  Mischler has led, co-managed and/or served as selling group member for more than $500 Billion (notional value) in new debt and preferred shares issued by Fortune corporations, new companies via IPO, as well as debt issued by various municipalities and US Government agencies.

Mischler Financial Group is a federally-certified Service-Disabled Veteran Owned Business Enterprise (SDVOBE) and a recognized minority broker-dealer. Mischler Muni Market updates are provided as a courtesy to institutional clients of Mischler Financial Group, Inc.

This Week’s Investment Grade Corporate Debt Tone: Firm & Tight; Mischler Comment
August 2016      Debt Market Commentary   

Quigley’s Corner 08.05.16: Investment Grade Corporate Debt Tighter on The Bid Side

 

Investment Grade New Issue Re-Cap

IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points – Market Tone Very Firm; 86% of Week’s 50 New Issues Tighter on the Bid Side.

“The Best and the Brightest” –  Syndicate Forecasts and Sound Bites for Next Week 

 New Issues Priced

This Week’s IG New Issues and Where They’re Trading

Lipper Report/Fund Flows – Week ending August 3rd     

Investment Grade Credit Spreads (by Rating/Issuer)

IG Secondary Market Trade Lab

Economic Data Releases

Rates Trading Lab

New Issue Pipeline

M&A Pipeline

We wrap up a resounding week for IG new issuance.  The climate is ripe for continued success for companies looking to print now.  Sure, we’ll have the late August vacations to slow things down a bit before the ramp up to what should be a VERY busy run from September through Thanksgiving but August is NOT yet over.  This week we saw a total of 47 IG Corporate and 3 SSA issues price.  86% of them trended tighter versus their final pricing spread levels in this afternoon’s secondary trading market. That is what syndicate desks mean when they say, “the market is firm!” The syndicate midpoint average forecast for next week’s IG Corporate supply is $22.80b.  They ARE the best.  However, I will say that the trend in here is – without a doubt – to the upside. So would I be surprised to see $30b price?…..Not at all.  But what the heck, when I give YOU access every Friday to those 23 professionals who price your deals and who sit in the most highly pressurized job on Wall Street, why listen to just little ole me?  The Best & Brightest have spoken.  See their projections and read their words in their below weekly section.  And thank you to all 23 of them for accommodating my request for early responses.  At 54 years of age I am wrapping up a tough 66 hour work week are tough BUT it was well worth it.  The Quigley family thanks all 23 syndicate participants for letting me out a bit early today to travel with my family up to Vermont. The guy in the corner needs some R&R in the Green Mountain State this weekend.  We appreciate the patronage of all the issuers who offered us such meaningful roles in the past couple of weeks and ditto that to those lead managers who really gave new meaning to getting us involved on the distribution front. You all know who you are. Thanks to each and every one of you.

……………..I tell ya, the oldest Service Disabled Veteran broker-dealer keeps breaking new ground.  When you give us a chance  to prove our capital market capabilities, we are the Little Engine That Could.  Thanks for entrusting Mischler Financial, the financial industry’s oldest minority broker-dealer owned/operated by Service-Disabled Veterans on your deals.


IG Primary & Secondary Market Talking Points – Market Tone Very Firm with 86% of This Week’s 50 New Issues Tighter on the Bid Side.

firm-tight-tone-investment-grade-debt

 

  • The average spread compression from IPTs thru the launch/final pricing of today’s 1 IG Corporate new issue was 15.00 bps.
  • BAML’s IG Master Index was unchanged at +151.  +106 represents the post-Crisis low dating back to July 2007.
  • Standard & Poor’s Global Fixed Income Research widened 4 bps to +203 versus +199.  The +140 reached on July 30th 2014 represents the post-Crisis low.
  • Investment grade corporate bond trading posted a final Trace count of $16.4b on Wednesday versus $17.8b Thursday and $14.5b the previous Thursday.
  • Taking a look at the secondary trading performance of this week’s IG Corporate and SSA issues, of the 50 deals that printed, 43 tightened versus NIP for a 00% improvement rate while only 6 widened (12.00%) and 1 was not available or N/A (2.00%).
  • For the week ended August 3rd, Lipper U.S. Fund Flows reported an inflow of $2.472b into Corporate Investment Grade Funds (2016 YTD net inflow of $23.27b) and a net outflow of $2.464b into High Yield Funds (2016 YTD net inflow of $7.232b).

 

Syndicate IG Corporate-only Volume Estimates for This Week and August

 

IG Corporate New Issuance This Week
8/01-8/05
vs. Current
WTD – $48.95b
August 2016 vs. Current
MTD – $48.95b
Low-End Avg. $25.13b 194.79% $60.48b 80.94%
Midpoint Avg. $26.22b 186.69% $61.13b 80.07%
High-End Avg. $27.30b 179.30% $61.78b 79.23%
The Low $15b 326.33% $45b 108.78%
The High $45b 108.78% $75b 65.27%

 

“The Best and the Brightest” –  Syndicate Forecasts and Sound Bites for Next Week 

 

I am happy to announce that, once again, the “QC” received unanimous responses from the 23 syndicate desks surveyed in today’s Best & Brightest poll.  21 of those participants are among 2016’s top 22 ranked syndicate desks according to today’s Bloomberg’s U.S. IG U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond underwriting league table.  In fact, all of today’s 23 participants finished in the top 25 of last year’s final IG Corporate Bloomberg league table.  The 2016 League table can be found on your terminals at “LEAG” + [GO] after which you select #201 (US Investment Grade Corporates).  Today’s cumulative underwriting percentage of the participating desks was 80.95% which simply means they’re the ones with visibility.  But it’s not only about their volume forecasts, it’s also about their comments!  This core syndicate group does it best; they know best; so they’re the ones you WANT and NEED to hear from.  It’s a great look at the week ahead.

*Please note that these are Investment Grade Corporate Debt only. They do not include SSA issuance unless otherwise noted.

 As always “thank you” to all the syndicate desks that participated in today’s survey.  I greatly appreciate your time to contribute and for making this edition of the “QC” among the most widely read! You are helping to promote Mischler’s value-added DCM proposition while adding readership to the “QC” that won Wall Street Letter’s Award as Best Broker Dealer Research in our financial services industry for the third consecutive year! That’s 2014, 2015 and 2016 !!  More importantly, however, you’re helping the nation’s oldest Service Disabled Veteran broker-dealer grow in a more meaningful and sustainable way.  So, thank you all! -RQ

 

The question posed to the “Best and the Brightest” early this morning was:

 

“Good morning and TGIF!  So, payrolls bounced, wages soared and the domestic labor market seems to be improving.  The BOE yesterday cut its benchmark rate 0.25%. But there’s “chatter” out there that the BOE might extend its sterling bond purchases to include “other currencies.”  This in lieu of Carney’s statement that he is “adverse to negative rates” and “helicopter money.” Could USD denominated bonds be on the BOE’s shopping list?  Today’s U.S. numbers were really good but in the grand scheme of things, as they saying goes, the world is “going deeper into the rabbit hole.”


This week we priced $50.65b of all-in IG Corporate and SSA issuance. IG Corps were $48.65b which eclipsed this week’s syndicate midpoint average forecast of $26.22b by 85.55%. We also beat the high estimate of $45b this week by 8%.

Here are this week’s IG Corporate-only key primary market driver averages:

 

  • NICS:  3.17 bps
  • Oversubscription Rates: 2.86x
  • Tenors:  11.57 years
  • Tranche Sizes: $1,020mm

 

Week-on-week demand for IG corporate credit primary paper was off against last week but remained strong posting an average bid-to-cover rate of 2.86x vs. 3.63x. Average NICs widened by 1.94 bps to an average 3.17 bps versus last week’s 1.23 bps.  Average tranche sizes increased thanks to the large multi-tranche deal from MSFT, to $1,020mm versus $875mm last week.  Average tenors decreased to 11.57 years versus last week’s 13.95 years but still over the 10.  For the week ended August 3rd, Lipper U.S. Fund Flows reported an inflow of $2.472b into Corporate Investment Grade Funds (2016 YTD net inflow of $23.27b) and a net outflow of $2.464b into High Yield Funds (2016 YTD net inflow of $7.232b).

Week-on-week, BAML’s IG Master Index is 1 bps wider or +151 vs. last Friday’s +150 close.  Spreads across the four IG asset classes widened 1.75 bps to 37.75 vs. 36.00. Looking at the 19 major industry sectors, spreads widened 1.63 bps to an average 46.84 bps off their post-Crisis lows versus 45.21 bps versus last Friday’s close.               

Finally, what are your thoughts and number or range for next week’s IG Corporate issuance?  Thoughts mean a lot and are always welcome and appreciated!

……..……and here are their formidable responses: (more…)

Municipal Debt Issuance Slated to Double This Week-Mischler
February 2016      Debt Market Commentary   

Mischler Muni Market Update for the week commencing 02.08.16 includes expectation that municipal debt issuance is slated to double in size this week vs. last week. Mischler Muni Update provides public finance investment managers and municipal bond market participants a snapshot of last week’s muni bond activity, including credit spreads, and a look at selected pending municipal finance offerings for this week’s pending issuance.

This is neither a recommendation or offer to purchase or sell securities. Mischler Financial Group is not a Municipal Advisor. For additional information, please contact Managing Director Richard Tilghman at 203.276.6656

For reading ease, please click on image below

mischler-muni-market-020815

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